From the monthly archives:

January 2011

A lot of people believe that this is the second straight year of Danny’s devolution. That’s not entirely true. Or, it’s at least not entirely fair.

He definitely struggled with his shot selection in the first half of last season, but he was rather banged up. He entered the year with a very balky knee. He played through it mostly but you could tell that his relative lack of mobility was part of the reason he settled for so many long-distance, mediocre shots when he could have pressed the issue and driven into the lane. He certainly was also just frustrated and settling because he was in a funk and too mentally lazy to leverage his natural gifts for finding ways to score creatively — but it was definitely a combination of both.

And then Granger tore his the plantar fascia in his right foot. He missed 16 games, during which the Pacers went 5-11. In his first 7 games back, he shot a woeful 37.5% (48 of 128) as he was clearly still not 100%.

But then something happened.

He rededicated himself to taking better shots and focused on getting into the lane. By and large, he was once again playing like the former All-Star he had been the prior year while shooting 46.4% in February and 48.5% in March on his way to monthly scoring totals of 24.8 ppg and 27.5 ppg, respectively. He became a dynamic scorer again rather than simply a lazy, hurt, long-range chucker and it led to him shooting 45.6% from the field and 38.3% from behind the arc in the second half of the year. He also got to the line 7.7 times a night as opposed to 6.3 times before the break.

Basically, it was a tale of two halves of a season — one woefully inefficient, one wonderfully dynamic.

Of course, nobody watched the Pacers play in the second half of the year last season so this isn’t widely known information. And since Danny has clearly regressed from an efficiency standpoint this year (while perfectly healthy), people look at his overall shooting percentage of 42.8 last year and believe he’s has now been downward spiraling for the past 124 games.

I’m not going to defend his current season struggles (which Greg Anthony breaks down well in the video below).

But just for the record, over his past 120-ish games, he was really inefficient for most of the first 40, very efficient for most of the middle 40 and again very inefficient for most of the last 40.

And as is the case with Roy Hibbert and Darren Collison, if he doesn’t go back to at least “rather efficient” and generally effective over the next 40, the Pacers will be in the lottery again.

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According to Forbes, there are only eight NBA franchises worth less than $300 million. The Indiana Pacers are one of them, ranking 27th in the league at a paltry $269 million. That puts them right below the league-administered New Orleans Hornets and ahead of only the Memphis Grizzlies, the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks.

The lesson here?

Don’t buy an professional basketball team in a city that starts with the letter M. Or in Indianapolis, probably.

The numbers are of course very troubling, but we knew this already. For now, Herb Simon remains around, and I think there is some semblance of location/ownership stability until he gets on a little further in years and the team becomes either a toy for his heirs or goes up for sale. That’s when things could become truly strained and fans can become truly concerned about the future of the franchise in this state.

Perhaps the impending lockout and the new CBA will do something to reverse the team’s fortunes.

Here are a few charts that Dan Feldman of Piston Powered made based on the Forbes data showing how all the league’s teams stack up financially. (I edited his originals to highlight the Pacers’ rankings.)

Current Franchise Value

Franchise Value Change Over the Last Year

Operating Income

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This Should Be Helpful

by Tim Donahue on January 27, 2011 at 1:12 pm · 1 comment

The Indianapolis Star’s resident car alarm, Bob Kravitz, weighed into the Pacer situation today with an impassioned plea to Pacer owner Herb Simon.

We have video:

Problem solved.

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The Magic Smack Around the JV Magic

by Jared Wade on January 26, 2011 at 11:40 pm · 6 comments

Three-point shots are worth more than two-point shots. Normally I wouldn’t feel the need to point that out, but I’m not sure anyone has informed the Indiana Pacers, who have now lost 12 of their past 15 games.

Because tonight the Orlando Magic made 16 of the 34 triples they took (47.1%) on their way to to a 15-point win that felt more like a shutout. It would be one thing if the Magic weren’t the Magic and didn’t lead the league with an average of 25.2 attempts from behind the arc per game. And it also wouldn’t be that big of a deal if, like the Pacers, the Magic were a below average three-point shooting team that just liked to chuck a ton up at the rim anyway.

But Orlando is a team that shoots 37.2% from long-range and has made more threes this year than any other team in the NBA — largely because Dwight Howard is the focal point of the offense and forces opposing defenses to collapse. You would think Indiana would be prepared to play a team built like this since they have similarly attempted to mold themselves into a team that makes their hay on defense, features a big man prominently on offense and tries to get up a lot of three-pointers.

On the contrary, they seemed blindsided and were never in this game after the first quarter. Worse still is that this continues the trend of deplorable team defense we have seen throughout the team’s now-six-game losing streak.

They have given up at least 97 points in each of the past six outings, a stretch of futility during which they have allowed an average of 108.7 points per game. The FG% defense isn’t any better with an average FG% allowed of 49.0%. The one good showing came up in Portland, where they held the Blazers to 42.2%, but the other five squads have all shot north of 45% — with four of them finishing above the 50% mark. (The worst was the 54.3% allowed to the Clippers.) And they haven’t been much better protecting the perimeter, giving up at least 10 threes in each of their last three games.

For Pacers fans tired of watching all the December losses in which the Pacers simply couldn’t score, at least now you get to watch them lose because they can’t stop anyone. It at least breaks up the monotony. Gotta look for those silver linings, ya know.

Danny Granger finished with 29 points on horrible shooting if you care, which you shouldn’t. (He did make it to the line 13 times, which was nice and his fifth time this year with double-digit FT attempts. Baby steps down the path back to some semblance of efficiency.) And Darren Collison actually did play pretty well offensively, scoring 21 points on 10-for-18 shooting. Lastly, Paul George played 32 minutes. He wasn’t good, wasn’t bad, but he got some time and that’s probably the most important thing that happened for him tonight.

As far as Orlando’s individual numbers, it was a an equal opportunity ass-kicking. The Magic had six guys score in double figures, and all eight players who played more than 3 minutes put up at least 8 points.

So when I say they didn’t stop anybody tonight, I mean that literally.

Everybody got theirs.

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