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Carlos Boozer

The Pacers season comes to a close as fishing season begins. (via TNT’s Inside the NBA)

Game 5 was an unfortunate and anticlimactic end to what was otherwise a fun, competitive series. But it proved what we all knew: one of these teams is for real and the other is the Indiana Pacers.

Danny Granger, as he did throughout the postseason, kept the Indiana attack afloat early, forcing his way to the hoop for 11 of his team’s 25 first-quarter points. (He finished the game with 20 points on 16 shots, 6 boards, 3 assists and 3 turnovers.) Despite the best efforts of their captain, who shot 43-for-90 (47.8%) in his five-game playoff run, the early hole was one the Pacers would never climb out of. The Bulls never trailed in this one after a hot start and it really was never even a game.

As in a few of the other games against Chicago, they could never get their offense going.

Roy Hibbert was again little more than patio furniture, oscillating between ineffectiveness and foul trouble early. To his credit, he did help spark the only thing we can even really consider a run, scoring 6 points coming out of half time as the Pacers cut the Bulls lead to 4 at one point. But he and his teammates couldn’t establish him down low and he turned the ball over twice in 9 third quarter minutes, which together only allowed him to get three looks from the paint in period.

Tyler Hansbrough was aggressive in the paint (8-for-9 from the line), but maybe more than in any game I can recall off hand, his limitations were on full display. Perhaps it was the fact that loud-softy Carlos Boozer spent so little time on the floor or perhaps it was just one of those nights, but regardless, Tyler was unable to create any clean looks. Every way he tried to hurl the ball at the rim was stymied. He was a wind-up car running into a wall. Nothing he tried worked. But he had nothing else to try so he just tried the same thing again. That type of motor is a good thing, but sometimes it looks like he’s having a series of mini-strokes out there rather than making a basketball play. After his surreal Game 1, he finished the series shooting 10-for-41 (24.4%) in the last four. Not so helpful.

Darren Collison continued doing his “not not solid but not not unmemorable” thing and added in one stretch of ugly futility during the third quarter, of which he played all 12 minutes. Didn’t sit — but didn’t really score, didn’t really fuel the offense and definitely didn’t really guard anyone. This felt similar to about 50% of the games we saw out of him this season. Some aging and some offseason work can hopefully lower that rate.

Paul George’s continued woeful inefficiency on offense will likely again be excused by his primary assignment of guarding Derrick Rose. But since he didn’t even do that particularly well on this night, it’s worth highlighting that his 2-for-8 shooting night dropped his five-game total to 10-for-33 (30.3%). Combine that with Tyler’s terrible production in series and we’re looking at two of the Pacers starters making 19 FGs from Game 2 through Game 5. That’s less than 5 makes combined per game from 40% of your starting lineup. That’s asking the other three guys to do a lot — and lest we forget one of those other three guys has the last name Hibbert. (Tyler and Roy combined to cough up 8 of the team’s are-you-serious 20 turnovers.)

Off the bench, Dahntay Jones added a semblance of a spark. So did AJ Price. But Jeff Foster wasn’t himself, Josh McRoberts’ best play was getting himself thrown out of the game for back-hand flailing at Joakim Noah (who Granger called “cowardly”) and Mike Dunleavy spent the last 19 minutes he ever will play in a Pacers jersey doing exactly nothing of interest. Brandon Rush made a few shots but was otherwise himself.

So … OK … The Indiana Pacers couldn’t execute or score. This isn’t altogether shocking. They’ve failed to be able to score against much worse defenses than Chicago’s all year long.

The real issue was the other end.

They have played poorly on offense in a few of these games and still been right there. The difference was that their defense fell apart in comparison to the other nights. In fairness, let’s first remember that Keith Bogans hit 5 of the 7 threes he took. Can’t blame anyone for that. If you asked most opposing coaches before the game whether or not they would want Keith I-Presume-His-Middle-Name-Is-Front-Iron Bogans to take 7 threes — even in an open gym — they would just smile and nod uncontrollably, unable to even speak due to gleeful euphoria like that of a puppy hearing a can opener. Additionally, the Pacers turned Boozer into a complete no-show — almost literally considering his 1-for-5 shooting in 16 minutes. (He was in foul trouble all night.)

His teammates were clearly excited about his play and happy to celebrate. (via @JohnCTownsend)

The only other caveat we need to put on the Pacers weak defensive showing is that the turnovers didn’t help. They gave up 34 points on possessions where they gave the ball away. That’s a ton and some of that helped the Bulls score 17 points off of transition and finish the game with a blistering 123.4 points-per-100-possession scoring rate. Oddly, the Pacers did manage to keep them off the offensive glass again, however, only surrendering 8 all night.

Other than that, Chicago did whatever it wanted.

In Frank Vogel speak, there was plenty of mouth out there but no smash.

Joakim Noah, in particular, was just on another plane from an energy and aggressiveness perspective. Likely high on adrenaline and emotion from having his grandfather in the stands watching him play professional basketball for the first time ever, he was a ball of napalm. He was acting like a fool, sure, but dead-ball situations aside, he was just more active than the whole Pacers front line — something that was more immeasurably helpful than anything else but still translated to 9 FTAs and 4 blocks on the stat sheet. (By contrast, he averaged 3.9 FTAs and 1.5 blocks per game on year.) Joakim is one of the best defensive players in the NBA, and everyone in the building, including the coolest man in attendance, became well aware as to why if they didn’t know already.

Derrick Rose was brilliant. So much for having a gimpy ankle. He hit 8 of his 17 shots, getting into the lane for 4 buckets in the paint to go along with 4 long jumpers (including 3 threes). He was all over the court on the defensive end as well, forcing a few steals and, most memorably, making the 7’2″ Hibbert look like he was 2’7″ when Rose blocked Roy’s shot at the rim. Splendid “how DARE you question me?” bounce-back game for him after two stinkers.

Luol Deng continued to play like perhaps the most overlooked player in the league. 24 points (on 14 shots and 8 trips to the line), 6 boards, 7 assists, 3 steals and 1 block. And don’t forget the high-level defense and even-keeled, play-within-the-offense decision-making. For all the things in the series you could point to that have made the Bulls look vulnerable as a contender, Deng’s play serves as a huge counter-argument. He was — tonight and throughout the playoffs — superb.

You may have noticed that, in recapping this loss, I’ve focused more on the individual contributions than the team nuances. Really, this is what the game and this series was about. One team had 4 of the 5 best players in the series and the other had Danny Granger, some interesting role players who poured their hearts into virtually every play and an “Aww Shucks … Why Not Us?” plucky young coach who got a band of underachievers to believe that they could hang.

It would be disingenuous to call this one a “gentleman’s sweep” considering that every game aside from the final one was in the balance in the final minute. But the simple fact is that one team had the players that could make plays and the other did not. The way we got to a 4-1 Bulls series win was unexpected, but the result was not.

Fun series though. And it should be a fun offseason.

Let’s not let one discouraging game change the whole narrative of the last week and a half.

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Pacers vs Bulls: Game 2 Preview

by Jared Wade on April 18, 2011 at 6:42 pm · 1 comment

(video via Fox 59)

Game 1 showed that the Pacers can hang with the best team in the East when they hit their shots. Obviously, 55.6% shooting from behind the arc isn’t sustainable, and because of this, a lot of people expect tonight’s Game 2 in Chicago to be a lot more one-sided in the Bulls favor.

But you know what else isn’t sustainable? A 50% offensive rebounding rate for the Bulls. For the uninitiated, that 50% number means that Chicago gained a second chance to score after half of its missed shots. Their offensive players got half of the possible rebounds available at that end of the floor.

Make no mistake, the Bulls are an excellent offensive rebounding team (4th best in the NBA), but the league average is closer to grabbing one out of every four shots (26.4% precisely). And even the Chicago only managed to retrieve 29.4% of their own misses this season. So that 50% total was an even sillier number than the Pacers hot shooting from deep was.

Scanning the stat sheet, these are the two biggest anomalies. It’s unlikely that either one happens again in Game 2. So the question becomes which team will be set back further? Indy by their lack of three-pointers or Chicago by their fewer second-chance points?

It is worth noting, however, that the Pacers are likely a lot more worried about how to keep the Bulls off the glass than the Bulls are about the Pacers continuing to never miss from three. They have even said as much. The the Pacers, ensuring the same thing doesn’t play out again will take, in addition to more targeted effort, a unified strategic adjustment. This must start with keeping Derrick Rose out of the paint so that Indy’s bigs don’t have to rotate over to help on nearly every possession, thereby leaving Chicago’s bigs free to go get it off the rim. It’s one thing to let a guy like Noah have a field day on the offensive glass; it’s another altogether to let Luol Deng get 5 and the allegedly-under-75-years-0ld Kurt Thomas swallow up 3 off the bench.

By contrast, the Bulls protecting the perimeter better is something that will likely just happen naturally. It’s something the Bulls will also try to encourage by closing out a little better and rotating more crisply, but the Pacers accuracy from 16 feet out and further is not something that usually happens twice in a row against the best defense in the league.

The other major thing that jumps off the stat-sheet is Chicago’s 32-to-17 free-throw advantage. This, however, doesn’t strike me as strange.

In the regular season, as hard as it might be to believe right now, the Pacers were actually better at getting to the line than the Bulls. But in the Playoffs, with more contact, more effort and more plays during which the refs are forced to make a decision under great pressure — a phenomenon that often seems to be swayed by aggressiveness — it would be hard to expect a team of jump-shooters and Tyler Hansbrough to get more tries from the charity stripe than a team with guys like Derrick Rose and Carols Boozer who force the action. That said, the Pacers can and should shoot more than 17 freebies this time out; I’m just not sure they will hold the Bulls below 30 — particularly if Paul George and his new-found penchant for foul trouble has anything to say about it. (In his defense, he only got 2 in Game 1 while guarding Rose a lot of the time.)

Speaking of that Rose character … yeah … he is an ungodly talent and probably playing better right now than any other basketball player on planet Earth. I really don’t think the Pacers need to worry about trying to stop him from scoring 35 points (or s0) again this game. In the first game they almost stole, he went off. And Danny Granger has called stopping Rose the team’s “main priority.”

But Boozer and the offensive role players did not. So they should try to replicate this strategy again, only this time don’t, ya know, leave Kyle Korver alone behind the three-point line or let Joakim Noah beat you down the floor for an uncontested dunk on key fourth-quarter possessions.

Also, if they can keep Rose from getting all the way to the rim (easier said than done, I know) and force him into some mid-range pull-ups, that should both help lower his easy points at the line and prevent freed-up bigs from snatching the ball of the iron on the few instances he does actually miss. Better still, get him to take 9 threes again. He won’t miss them all like he did in the first game, but he isn’t likely to turn into Peja Stojakovic either.

On the other end, the same thing must be prioritized: dominate the paint.

We hear all about “smashmouth” basketball from coach Vogel. And the Pacers did a good job of keeping Roy Hibbert involved in the offense early in round one of this seires. Even when they weren’t tossing it down to him on the block, he was getting putbacks and generally active in battling with Noah. As the game went on, however, the offense went through the post less frequently and Roy’s impact vanished.

This was in part due to Darren Collison getting to the hoop with penetration and, later, Tyler Hansbrough making every shot he took from mid-range, something that de-emphasized the need to run things through the paint. By the time Danny was shooting the lights out in the third quarter, the offense started to seem like it was creating itself. They didn’t really have to work because good shot attempts were just materializing everywhere and the shots from 16-23 feet were flowing like wine. There was no need to go inside-out to develop scoring opportunities because they were doing just fine getting them from the perimeter or in transition.

Of course, everything is a good shot when you’re making them. But by the time the Bulls dug in late and the Pacers were having a tougher time finding open looks in the seams of the defense, they had little to go on. The pick-and-roll with Tyler had been effective, but even the best play in basketball needs a counter-move to go along with it. And the lack of and established post-game was glaring. It looked like an NFL offense that had looked unstoppable throughout the game while throwing the ball all over the field but now had nowhere to turn when it needed just one more first down to kill the clock. The Pacers had no running game to turn to and the Bulls did the equivalent of forcing a punt and then driving 50 yards on three plays to kick the winning field goal.

Moving past the stats and strategy aspects, the big question on from the softer side of things perspective is whether or not the Pacers will be able to recover from the disappointment of giving away Game 1. They threw everything they had at Chicago, making few errors in the first 44 minutes and barely turning the ball over. Not only were the leading, nearly pulling out a wire-to-wire win, but they were close to dominating the entire contest.

Still … they are now down 0-1.

How does a young team with little proven leadership bounce back?

We’ll see in a few hours.

Game 1 Stats

Pacers @ Bulls
99 Points 104
113.8 Offensive Rating 119.5
52.4% eFG% 47.6%
55.6% (10/18) 3 PT% 30.0% (6/20)
13.1 FT/FG 31.7
64.7% (11/17) FT% 81.2% (26/32)
34 Rebounds 49
31.7% Off. Reb % 50.0
13 Off Rebounds 21
11.5% Turnover Rate 16.1%
12 (18) Turnovers (Points Off Of) 15 (24)
21 Assists 18
16 Fast Break Points 13
32 Points in the Paint 44
6 Blocks 9
8 Steals 6
25 Fouls 21

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Game 1 was the perfect illustration of why it is much more valuable for a middling NBA team to make the playoffs than end the season on a losing note to move down a few spots in the lottery. The reality is that the #8 pick is nearly as likely to turn into a good rotation player as a #13 pick — something Tyler Hansbrough proved this afternoon. But playoff experience, finding out what it’s like when every player aside from Vince Carter is exerting maximum effort on every play, is invaluable.

Especially when the two teams kick off the NBA postseason with a display as fun as this.

The outcome wasn’t what the Pacers wanted. But no one outside of Frank Vogel actually expects this team to win the series so the process is more important than the final result. In terms of the young nucleus of this team building some confidence and a mental blueprint for success, it would be helpful for them to take a game or two from the Bulls. Ultimately, however, what matters more is whether or not the team comes away from its first trip to the playoffs in six years with some feeling that it can compete. In the press, the guys of course say that they think they can do just that right now, but they know who is on the roster in Boston and Los Angeles and who is on the roster in Indiana.

If you want to read the subtext of a Roy Hibbert quote after this afternoon’s 104-99 loss the way I do, the big fella essentially said as much: “There’s no way they’re going to sweep us.” He isn’t necessarily implying that the Pacers can’t win the series, but it reads to me as him insinuating that they plan to win a game or two.

Regardless, even in defeat, they took another step in the right direction today. The first step was making the playoffs. But this was something more. This was them showing the masses, on national TV, what a few of us saw a couple of times earlier this year when they beat the Heat and the Lakers in convincing fashion. Today, they landed some big punches on a heavyweight champ, leaving legs wobbly and eyes swollen. They lost the fight, but they made a statement to the world — and more importantly, themselves.

Moving past the platitudes and mixed metaphors of this whole intro, the Pacers simply played high-level offense today for most of the game. Even with two early airballs and a couple of other ugly jumpers from Danny Granger, the team put up 55 points in the first half, sparked by a 128.6 offensive efficiency in the opening quarter. Darren Collison led the way with 10 first-quarter points on 7 shots and went into halftime with a big 16 in his box score. That’s a big-time performance for a point guard in his first playoff game who only had 9 games this season with more than 20 points.

Unfortunately, he only finished the game with 17 points, due in part to him sitting for a curiously long, 7-and-a-half-minute stretch from 1:15 left in the third quarter until 5:40 remaining in the game. Maybe the offense still melts down if he gets back in earlier (they were outscored 16-1 in the final 3:38 … we’ll get to that), but maybe it doesn’t. Still, it stands to reason that the team should want its best point guard out there as much as his stamina allows as they try to shovel dirt on the best team in basketball’s Game 1 grave. And since he’s 24 years old, he probably wasn’t gassed.

That elephant-in-the-room, end-game futility we’ll be getting to also mars some great second-half performances by Tyler Hansbrough and Danny Granger. This was just an amazing game for the former Tar Heel star that even a lot of smart people who follow the NBA considered an association also-ran just three months ago. (That group may or may not include Jim O’Brien. And it may or may not include him for multiple reasons, according to some Pacers fans I know.)

Tyler was a mid-range assassin, brutalizing the Bulls in the pick-and-pop game and perhaps helping the rest of the league scout a chink in the armor of the league’s best defense. His 22 points on 19 shots and 4 rebounds were nice, but even they don’t really reflect his impact. Shooting and confidence can be contagious and it was his dead-on jumper, which he released time and time again without hesitation, that kept pushing the lead back up each time the Bulls scored on the other end. This was fitting since a lot of the Pacers late-season offensive success has been built on Tyler’s ability to do bury these shots. ‘Twas a microcosm, a person with a better vocabulary than I might try to say.

There was a very scary moment in the waning seconds of the third, however, when Hansbrough took a hard elbow to the temple from Kurt Thomas. Our lovable Buckaroo Banzai hit the deck, lying there motionless for way longer than you ever want to see someone lay motionless. He looked woozy when he did eventually sit up. Worse still, when he was walking back to the locker room, he couldn’t even make it the whole way, as his legs turned to noodles and he had to take a seat so as not to lose his balance.

Fortunately, he would soon return to the bench and, later, the game. So it would seem that there was no significant damage done, but you still have to cross your fingers considering that Hansbrough sat out most of his rookie season with vertigo-like symptoms that stemmed from what was originally diagnosed as an inner ear infection.

Furthermore on this “fortunately” vibe, he didn’t just come back, but he came back and just kept sticking jumpers. Matt Moore of Hardwood Paroxysm explains.

When he got whacked in the head and went down, it was a legitimately scary moment (which didn’t stop the Bulls fans from booing like crazy). He went to the back, came back out, and KILLED Boozer. Killed him dead. Carlos Boozer is normally bad at defense. The “Bro made him look even worse.

Shame they didn’t win. I had a “WELCOME TO CHICABROUGH” headline all picked out and everything.

Granger was similarly accurate in the third, scoring the Pacers’ first 7 points out of half time to extend what was a 4-point advantage to a 7-point edge and getting his cocky, bobblehead-imitating persona going to help fire up himself and his teammates. (He finished with a team-high 24 points on 10-for-20 shooting … a 50% rate that looked highly improbable for him to reach after his woeful start to the game.) It was a crucial way to open the second act, since this was around the point where everyone in the world expected the Bulls to surge back and take the game over. It didn’t happen. Not for a some time anyway. (We’re getting to the bad part eventually … I promise.)

Every time the Bulls hit a big shot that would normally feel like a “here we go again … cue the collapse” moment to Pacers fans, Indy kept their composure and just answered with a bucket of their own or a few defensive stops. There was never a point where it seemed as though they were overwhelmed by the moment. They didn’t turn the ball over, finishing with only 10 on the night — a good number for any team but an excellent one for a team that is both this inexperienced in the postseason and averaged 14.8 turnovers a night in the regular season (good for fourth-worst in the league). They shot the lights out, hitting 10 of their 18 attempts from behind the arc.

Really, they seemed to be the only ones who were not shocked by what was going on.

In fact, if it wasn’t for a maddening inability to keep Chicago off of the offensive glass (they finished with a .500 offensive rebounding percentage, meaning they got half of those available … league average is .264), the Pacers may have been up by even more than 10 when Hansbrough stripped Carlos Boozer in the open court and raced the other way for a breakaway power dunk, plus the harm, with 3:38 to play

Now … OK … we’re here … the bad part: this and-one FT by Tyler was the second to last point the team would score. And the only reason they even got that final point was because Joakim Noah badly bailed out a terrible Pacers possession by fouling Hibbert as the shot clock was expiring. Kelly Dwyer of Yahoo’s Ball Don’t Lie said it best: “Indiana outplayed Chicago for about 44 minutes of a 48-minute game.”

Up until that Hansbrough dunk, the Pacers had shot 51.3% for the game. Then they missed their final 8 shots in an ending that was eerily similar to the collapse they suffered in their loss to the Knicks in their penultimate regular season game. (In that one, they didn’t score a single point in the final 3:30, setting the stage for a back-breaking Carmelo Anthony game-winner.) Even worse than missing 8 straight shots was that they just couldn’t create any good looks. It was as if what everyone expected to happen at the start of the third quarter was simply delayed by 20 minutes. (Insert your own joke here about this happening in a building sponsored by United Airlines.)

Credit the Bulls for their defense, sure. They did heighten their intensity. And Rose soon started pouring it on on the other end, adding greater pressure for the Pacers to execute. But when you’re up 10 with less than four minutes to play, you need to win that game. I don’t really care what the other team does.

Here’s Granger’s take.

“We put forth a good effort, but who cares?” Granger said. “It’s 0-1.”

Instead, Indiana will have to look back at this one as the game that got away and hope they can put forth a similar effort against a no-longer-going-to-be-caught-off-guard Bulls team in Game 2. Before the series even started, Jeff Foster knew this moment was coming.

“We’re going to get punched in the mouth at some point. It’s a matter of how we respond to that,” Foster said. “That’s going to be key for us.”

The late-game heroics of Derrick Rose were indeed a punch. A stomach punch, Bill Simmons might even say. We’ll see how they can bounce back Monday. That might be the difference in whether they can, as Vogel believes, pull off a series upset or, as perhaps Hibbert and many Pacers fans simply hope, avoid getting swept by what we all know is simply a much superior team.

Some other stuff:

  • Derrick Rose aint right. For real. He was brilliant and dropped 39 despite missing all 9 of his three-point attempts (3 of which, as Dwyer noted, came at the end of the first three quarters). He got to the line 21 times, making 19. (This isn’t a fluke. He’ll keep getting there and making em. He started off the regular season shooting in the high-70% range from the line but has hit 383 of his last 433, i.e., 88.5% since December 18. Scary.) Ultimately, the Pacers — nay, even the Navy SEALS — have no answer for this guy. But we already knew this. Frankly, it doesn’t even matter if he averages 45 per game. The Pacers held Boozer and Noah to a combined 9-for-23 shooting and that is half the reason they were in a position to win. Pacers fans can marvel at the wonder and awe of Rose. Everybody should. But when it comes to beating Chicago, just hope that Indy gets Derrick to mix in some contested jumpers along with his unstoppable forays into the paint while holding the rest of the team in check. And don’t leave Kyle Korver alone in the fourth quarter. That would be helpful. It’s not like doubling Rose is going to slow him down anyway.
  • A few people have questioned why rookie Paul George was trusted with the Rose assignment so long late in the game. Why not give Brandon Rush or Dahntay Jones, who never entered the game, a shot? I don’t know the answer to that but I find it hard to believe anyone else would have done much better. It’s worth re-visiting in Game 2, however. I generally feel that the more different looks you can throw at a superstar scoring, the better. You can’t stop them, but perhaps you can force them to have to continually adjust their approach a little and maybe that will disrupt their groove. Anyway, George did a pretty decent job in forcing Rose to take some jumpers so I’m not sure it would have mattered in this one.
  • Indiana lost the FT battle badly. Their FT/FGA was .131 for  vs. 317 for Bulls. League average, mind you, is .229. This is of course due in large part to the fact that Rose cannot be stopped by mortals. He also probably got a few calls. And, oh yeah, the Bulls had that one extra-free free throw courtesy of Joey Crawford T’ing up Vogel with just a few seconds left in the first half. They need to make this FT disparity narrower if they hope to continue being competitive. It would also help if they made more than 64.7% of their free throws.
  • Paul George, Mike Dunleavy, Jr. and Brandon Rush combined for 9 points in 57 minutes. That’s not even remotely getting it done. The Bulls only real weakness is their SG rotation. The Pacers need to exploit that and George in particularly needs to start putting some numbers on the board. He can start by staying out of foul trouble, something he gets into like clockwork of late.
  • From ESPN: “The Bulls outscored the Pacers by 13 points in the 4th quarter, continuing an ongoing trend from the regular season when they had easily the best 4th quarter scoring margin in the NBA. Fittingly the Pacers were -126 in the 4th quarter this season which ranked 28th in the NBA. Only the Raptors and Timberwolves were worse.”
  • I’m not going to say Roy Hibbert was offensively worthless but he wasn’t worthwhile. This wasn’t a huge deal on a night when the Pacers were hitting so many jumpers, but they will need a little more out of him to succeed in future games, I reckon.
  • AJ Price was OK off the bench, hitting a few key jumpers on his way to 8 points in 14 minutes. I thought he looked ready for the playoffs. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him have a game in this series where he drops somewhere between 15 and 20 points.
  • Jeff Foster dished out a hard foul on Derrick Rose early in the game. It was the Official Playoffs Have Started, Guys moment of the NBA’s postseason. More than anything, it’s just nice that the Pacers could be involved in something like that. I wasn’t born yet, but I believe Jeff Foster started off the very first NBA playoffs the same way when he undercut Georg Mikan.

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Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls
Monday, December 13, 2010
8:00 pm EST
United Center
Chicago, Illinois

In the preseason, not many people thought that Chicago’s only real threat to winning the Central Division would be the Pacers. But with the Bucks looking like they have taken a step backwards this season and the Cavs and Pistons both just looking like really bad teams, that’s how it looks on December 13.

Furthermore, when you look at the most important teams statistics (see chart below), the Pacers and Bulls appear to be performing almost identically. In point differential, the Pacers rank 11th in the NBA while the Bulls are 10th. Offensively, the Pacers rank 19th while the Bulls are 20th. Defensively, the Pacers are 8th and have the leagues 2nd best eFG% against and the Bulls are 7th with the 5th best eFG% against.

Just like Jim O’Brien is doing in Conseco, new Chicago coach Tom Thibodeau, formerly the architect of the Celtics championship defense, has these guys playing superb defense.

It’s not as even as the numerical picture paints, however.

Chicago was forced to play its first 15 games without marquee offseason acquisition Carlos Boozer. The team has long lacked a consistent interior scorer and that’s what the former Jazz power forward does best. He hasn’t been his old self thus far since returning and playing his way into the system, but the impact has been apparent, with the Bulls having won five straight coming into tonight’s game.

But this team was pretty good even without Booz. Now that he is back, Mark Stein has put the Bulls fourth in his week-seven power rankings based largely on one eye-opening piece of information about how they’ve played against the West.

The Bulls have 11 wins against Western Conference foes, and no other team in the East has more than six. D-Rose is shooting 41.6 percent on 3-pointers, and Boozer is back. Safe bet: Chicago is in the top 10 to stay.

Yeah .. That Derrick Rose kid is pretty good. With averages of 25.1 ppg (on 46.6% shooting), 8.1 apg and 4.3 rpg, Maurice Brooks has the point guard listed third on his current MVP ballot. The fact that Darren Collison recently questioned the Pacers point guard rotation highlights just how much this match-up leans in Chicago’s favor.

Throw in the fact that Joakim Noah is an excellent defender and the league’s third best rebounder and we’re talking about a team on the cusp of the NBA elite. They might only be 14-8, but they are very good and getting better. (Kobe’s not passing the torch just yet, however.)

Hopefully for the Pacers, they can catch them on a night where they still look like they haven’t put it all together yet in what will be the first of four meetings between the squads this season. The fact that Danny Granger is questionable to go with an ankle sprain (last I heard anyway) won’t help.

Pacers vs Bulls By the Numbers

Bulls vs Pacers
14-8 (4th) Record (Conf Rank) 11-11 (7th)
9-2 (Home) Home / Road Records 5-6 (Road)
Won 5 Current Streak Lost 1
3-2 Last 5 Head-to-Head 2-3
+2.64 (10th) Point Differential (Rank) +2.23 (11th)
105.0 (20th) Offensive Rating (Rank) 105.0 (19th)
49.5% (19th) eFG% (Rank) 50.4% (11th)
102.3 (7th) Defensive Rating (Rank) 102.6 (8th)
47.6% (5th) Opponent's eFG% (Rank) 46.2% (2nd)
93.5 (11th) Pace (Rank) 94.5 (8th)

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