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Jamaal Tinsley

Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers
Wednesday, December 30
7:00 PM EST
Conseco Fieldhouse
Indianapolis, Indiana

Pacers vs. Grizzlies
9-21 (13th) Overall Record 14-16 (10th)
6-8 Home / Road Records 4-11
2-8 Record Last 10 Games 6-4
Lost 7 Current Streak Won 1
6-4 Last 10 Head-to-Head 4-6
-5.47 (27th) Avg Scoring Margin -1.77 (18th)
96.6 (23rd) Points Per Game 102.8 (8th)
99.8 (26th) Offensive Rating 108.9 (9th)
42.9% (29th) FG% 47.7 (6th)
46.8% (26th) eFG% 49.8% (14th)
102.1 (22nd) Opponent's PPG 104.5 (25th)
105.4 (15th) Defensive Rating 110.8 (28th)
44.9% (12th) Opponent's FG% 48.1% (29th)
48.3% (9th) Opponent's eFG% 52.2% (28th)
96.9 (2nd) Pace 93.4 (10th)

Off Rating: pts / 100 possessions Def Rating: pts allowed / 100 possessions
eFG%: FG% accounting for 3PA being worth more Pace: avg possessions per game

Indy closes out their two-game season series with the Grizzlies tonight — and this time Jamaal Tinsley will be coming back to Conseco Fieldhouse with his new team. Jamaal hasn’t played a game in Indiana since he last played for the Pacers against the Knicks on February 5, 2008, and this marks only the second game he has played against the Pacers since … well … ever.

So that should be a good backdrop for the game.

But the real story is that the Pacers need a win in a very bad way after dropping their past 7 in a row. And despite the butt-kicking the Grizz handed out when these two teams matched up last time (Indy lost by 13 and was outscored 58-36 in the second half) and despite the fact that Memphis is playing rather well of late (8-4 in December), the Pacers have a good shot at ending the agony tonight — at least temporarily — because the Grizzlies are so bad defensively.

Then again, based upon that same rationale, here’s what I said while previewing the December 18 Memphis/Pacers game, which was so long ago that Indy was actually on a 1-game winning streak at the time:

With the Spurs, Bucks, Celtics and Hawks being their next four opponents, it could be the last good chance for a win until after Santa has already come and gone.

Sorta like thinking you might be pregnant, this is one of those times when being right sucks.

Fortunately, the next four Pacer opponents following tonight’s game are the Wolves, Knicks, Magic and Wolves. So regardless of what happens tonight, I’m pretty confident that Indy can squeak out at least one win in the next four.

Still, may as well just break the losing streak this evening, no? It’s worth a try.

Five Other Things

(1) Zach Randolph is playing out of his goddamn mind right now. He’s averaging 23.3 ppg and 14.3 rpg on 51.4% shooting in December and those ridiculous totals don’t even do justice to the insanity he has put up in his last five games, during which he has dropped a 23/19, 27/14, 33/18, 32/24 and 26/16. Wow. Just. Wow. The Pacers are going to have to stop this soon-to-be Western Conference Player of the Month if they want to win.

(2) Statistically, the Grizzlies may actually be the perfect elixir for Indiana right now. The Pacers are the 2nd worst shooting team in the league at 42.9% from the field and the Grizz are the 2nd worst defensive team from a FG% standpoint, allowing opponents to shoot 48.1% against them for the year. What this means is that if the Pacers can’t at least crack 45% tonight of all nights, then this team is even worse than I thought it was. (For the record, Indy shoot a gross 40.7% when they last met two weeks ago.)

(3) OJ Mayo, a member of one of the worst NBA franchises in existence, said this about tonight’s game: “We’ve got to win the games we’re supposed to win, if we want to get to where we want to get to.” What does that say about Indy? Go Pacers.

(4) From the Pacers.com preview: “In the last six games, the Pacers’ starting wings, Mike Dunleavy and Dahntay Jones, have been outscored 166-67 by opposing starters”

(5) Troy Murphy left last night’s game with a sprained ankle. No official word yet, but he’s “doubtful” and I’d be shocked if he played. Tyler Hansbrough sat out last night as well (ear infection) and is listed as “doubtful” again tonight.

tinsley hero

Jamaal is back. And he’s ready to rock.

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Five Years Later

by Jared Wade on November 19, 2009 at 9:11 pm

Happy Anniversary. *sigh*

UPDATE: I forgot to add what I had tweeted earlier, which is the only thing I really have to say about the whole incident at this point:

I saw the Malice at the Palace live in an NYC bar that was later destroyed when a 24-story-tall construction crane fell on it. Apropos, I thought.”

(video from FanDome)

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8p9s/Pacers TrueHoop Network Season Preview

by Jared Wade on October 26, 2009 at 7:53 am

In the true spirit of Season Preview Season, the TrueHoop Network has come together like Voltron. With Henry Abbott and Kevin Arnovitz at the helm, all of the TrueHoop Network bloggers have joined forces for a 150ish-page NBA season preview book that will be available in full very soon. I’ll update this post and include the link to the piece in its entirely as soon as it becomes available, but in the meantime, be sure to peruse the other blogs in the network for other team outlooks. And stay tuned to TrueHoop for more updates from Henry and Kevin.

I haven’t read the preview in its entirety yet, but in addition to breakdowns of all 30 teams, I’m really looking forward to seeing Kevin’s chat with Blake Griffin, The Painted Area’s forward-looking “10 NBA Questions for the 2010s” and the thrilling conclusion of Henry’s ongoing series on Wayne Winston, the Indiana University professor who has has been the Dallas Mavericks’ stat guru for the past nine year and authored the book “Mathletics.”

As for me, I naturally did the Pacers preview. (In related news, I did a different, yet similarly toned Pacers preview for Heels on Hardwood.) And aside from informing you that this post consists of nine separate sections, each of which is explained under the heading, there’s not a lot else that needs saying.

So here it is: Your TrueHoop Network 2009-10 Pacers Season Preview. Enjoy.

Crowd Says / Blogger Says

The consensus win total prediction of the TrueHoop Network bloggers …
and the best hopes of the blogger who covers the team.

CrowdSaysBlogSays

Yes We Can!

The sun is out. The seas have parted. The basketball gods are shining upon us.

The Pacers franchise is in tumult. So much has changed since Ron Artest charged into the stands. The roster has been torn down. The playoffs have become merely a fond memory. The stands have emptied. The owners have hemorrhaged millions.

To stem the tide, the Pacers need a jolt of positivity. And on-court success is likely the only thing that will reinvigorate the fan base and re-brand the Pacers as something other than a punch line. This upcoming season may not exactly be playoffs or bust, but it’s hard to believe that anything short of the postseason will remove the dark cloud over Conseco.

Given all this, it would be great to pretend that there is a nuanced range of factors that will determine how successful the 2009-10 season will be. But that’s just not the case. Ultimately, it will come down to one thing: Dunleavy’s knee.

Currently, we know very little about how healthy Junior is. Although the self-assessments on Mike’s aptly titled blog “You, Me and My Knee” have been optimistic, guys like Gilbert Arenas have previously predicted ahead-of-schedule returns only to suffer setbacks. And Pacers fans know all too well how Jermaine O’Neal’s continual confidence worked out.

But we shouldn’t presume the worst. The original prognosis was for a Christmas return, so anything that accelerates Mike’s comeback is positive news. Until Dunleavy returns to the court, however, the Pacers roster will likely look as rudderless as it has since the last time he was healthy.

Danny Granger’s emergence as one of the most promising, fundamentally sound players in the league buoyed the franchise last season. By early December, Granger displayed a dynamic, multi-faceted game that few of even his largest supporters knew existed. Troy Murphy’s newfound proficiency was even less expected, and I’m not sure even his relatives foresaw gaudy stats like 14.3 ppg and 11.8 rpg on 45 percent shooting from 3-point range.

If Dunleavy can round out that trio, the Pacers should end their three-year playoff drought next April. Many will scoff at a surrounding cast of TJ Ford, Brandon Rush, Jeff Foster, Roy Hibbert, Tyler Hansbrough, Dahntay Jones and Earl Watson. Don’t listen to those skeptics. Larry Bird may not have discovered an array of future All-Stars, but he has assembled a cast of capable role players.

The development and integration of these secondary players will make for an interesting story this year regardless of anything else. With everything that has happened since the Malice in the Palace, however, interesting stories no longer resonate in Indianapolis. This team needs a playoff appearance. Realities on and off the court demand organizational progress.

Will it happen? If Mike Dunleavy plays 70 games, it should. And if he doesn’t? Well, at least the Pacers will have one more lottery pick to build around.

MDJ_Knee

No You Don’t

A rousing dissent from a rival blogger.

“Listen, Mr. Legend. Larry Bird is not walking through that door – no matter how many times you try to find the next Larry Bird.”

Ryan Schwan of Hornets247

All-a-Twitter

140-characters of insight into the soul of the team.

granger twitter raccoon

On the Record

Single best quote concerning the team during the last 12 months.

“The last three or four years have been disasters, and generally speaking, you can almost pinpoint it from the [brawl] game in Detroit. Not only has our fan base deteriorated but our financial condition has, too.”

Pacers Co-Owner Herb Simon (Indianapolis Star, 2/4/2009)

artestfight

The 2008-09 Almanac

Some key stats from last season.

If Jim O’Brien is coaching a team, there will be threes — and with good reason. Since O’Brien took over, the Pacers have shot 37.8% and 37.4% from behind the arc the past two seasons, good for eighth-best in the league both years. While those numbers are decent, what is more impressive is how his spread offensive system has been able to improve his key players’ long-range accuracy. Here are some numbers showing how four Pacer players have benefited from “The O’Brien Bump” after they started playing for the coach with the Paulie Walnuts hair.

The OBrien Bump

The Play

With the Pacers down one and 9.2 seconds to play…

Troy Murphy inbounds to Mike Dunleavy, who jab-steps, pump-fakes and then leans right before ripping the ball across his body to dribble left along the perimeter. Danny Granger moves towards Mike, takes a dribble hand-off and drives hard towards the top of the key. The defenders switch and the guy guarding Mike jumps in front of Granger. Danny catches him off-balance, crosses the ball back over to his left and steps back. He pulls up, elevates and releases the ball at the top of his jump shot. All net.

(Although if there’s only 0.9 seconds left, I suggest they just go with this play again.)

The People’s Choice

The fan favorite the crowd will be chanting for to see some action.

Tyler Hansbrough will be a rotation fixture, but fans will always want to see more of his relentless hustle and frenetic tenacity. And why not? Floor burns, black eyes and tip-ins will always trump blown rotations, missed assignments and sloppy close-outs in the popular vote.

Tyler Hansbrough UNC SI

If You’re Watching the Bottom Line, You’re Watching This

The single biggest financial issue hanging over the team.

Between the onerous contracts the front office acquired to unload Stephen Jackson (a burden otherwise known as the “Murphleavy Compromise”) and the go-away money spent to make Jamaal Tinsley disappear, the Pacers salary situation has become an organizational millstone. But there is now a light at the end of the tunnel. The Tinsley buyout and the deals of Troy Murphy, Mike Dunleavy and TJ Ford all come off the cap in the summer of 2011, at which point Indy’s management can once again start making personnel decisions based on talent rather than affordability.

light tunnel

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These lyrics from the Counting Crows song “St. Robinson in His Cadillac Dream” aptly sum up the current state of Pacers Nation.

Indiana entered the summer of 2009 as a team needing to change and improve, but they had very few options to do so. They had the 13th and 52nd picks in a notoriously weak draft. They had a budget of around $9 million to fill out the roster. They had to figure out what to do with restricted free agents Jarrett Jack and Josh McRoberts.

With all of the exciting draft prospects gone by the time the Pacers picked, and all of the attractive free agents out of their price range, the Pacers options appeared to be a choice between “Meh” and “Bored, Now.” Watching Larry Bird and David Morway handle the draft and free agency this summer brought 30-year-old flashbacks of my mom shopping at Zayre’s for my school clothes. They have eschewed the trendier locales and the pricier aisles, instead heading straight to the clearance section — a strategy that seems destined to draw snickers from the cooler, richer kids and an exasperated “Awwww, mom!” from Pacer fans.

It’s hard for Pacer fans to watch that snazzy power forward (Blake Griffin) leaving the store in another team’s shopping basket, just as it was hard last summer when we couldn’t take home that really cool point guard (Derrick Rose). It’s hard for Pacer fans to watch their former nemesis (Detroit) go shopping with daddy’s Gold Card. It’s hard to watch that car they have come to like (Jarrett Jack) be replaced by a cheaper one with more miles (Watson).

It’s hard to get excited about adding a collection of players who scream “serviceable” when “difference-maker” is the most ardent desire. But, again, Pacer fans can find solace in the words of founding father Benjamin Franklin: “He that can have patience, can have what he will.”

Learning to Live “In Between

In my 43 years of stumbling through life, I’ve come to the conclusion that “in between” is without question the crappiest place to be.  That is where the Pacers and their fans find themselves. They are in between the bad and the good. In between the despair and the hope. In between the fall and the rise.

The problem with “in between” is the uncertainty. It’s the feeling that you could go either way. Doubt grows, first making you antsy, then panicky.

Now, don’t mistake my intentions here. I am not saying “Be patient. Everything will be OK.”  I have no idea whether everything will be OK. I am simply saying that remaining patient will be crucial for everyone as the Pacers try to get from here to there.

In the meantime, Bird and Morway must avoid confusing activity with accomplishment. It could be reasonably argued that the small moves this summer are proof that the front office is doing exactly that, but I would disagree on two counts. First of all, the acquisitions made this summer (Tyler Hansbrough, Dahntay Jones, Earl Watson and Solomon Jones) all bring qualities that were lacking in last year’s squad, primarily in the areas of defense, toughness and athleticism. Given the tenuous position of both their finances and their reputation, the Pacers must continue to put a competitive product on the floor. While none of these players may be difference makers, they may help players like Granger, Rush and Hibbert to be more effective.

Secondly, none of the decisions made this summer will be difficult to “un-make.” Some may question the length of Dahntay Jones’ contract or the size of Earl Watson’s one-year salary. But, as in all assessments, proper perspective is necessary.  To shed some light, I offer the following three financial nuggets:

  1. Only the contracts of Hansbrough and Dahntay Jones extend beyond two years (with the final two years of Hansbrough’s being team options)
  2. Over the next four years, Dahntay Jones will be paid $5 million less than the Pacers will have paid Jamaal Tinsley to not play a single game in three seasons.
  3. The five contracts added this summer (Watson, Jones, Jones, Hansbrough and McRoberts) represent about $27 million in total salary commitments (and that’s including team options). Compare that to the some past decisions that couldn’t be “un-made,” and you’ll see that the price paid to acquire five new players is roughly equal to the Jonathan Bender extension, about $6 million less than the salary burden added in the Murphleavy trade, and about $13 million less than the Tinsley extension.

The moves made by Bird and Morway this summer were designed to address modest, short-term goals without jeopardizing any long-term plans or flexibility. As with all decisions, some will prove wise, and some will prove foolish. But even if they all fail, they won’t cost the franchise as dearly as any one of a half-dozen or more foolish decisions made in the years since the Pacers played in the NBA Finals.

There will be one or two minor deals made yet this summer, the most likely of which will center around the rumored sign-and-trade deal with Boston for Marquis Daniels. It is doubtful, however, that any more acquisitions will cause much more than a ripple in terms of Pacer or NBA news.

A Light at the End of the Tunnel

Patience is crucial for Pacer fans, if for no other reason than to preserve their sanity. It took years to create this quagmire, and it will take years to extricate the team from it. Pacer fans will need to save their energy for next year, when we see the real, foundational moves begin to be made. (Or, at least, I hope will be made.)

There has been a recurring charge over the past few years that Indiana’s leadership, particularly Larry Bird, has the goal of perpetual mediocrity. I’ve always considered this a straw man argument, primarily because I can’t imagine Bird, of all people, embracing mediocrity.

That being said, I think it is valid to be worried that mediocrity may be the final result of Larry Bird’s tenure. Over the past two years, Bird and Morway have demonstrated that they are quite adept at righting the ship, plugging the leaks and navigating the treacherous seas the Pacers blundered into years ago. The bigger question remains whether or not they actually will lead the Pacers back into contention. They have done a wonderful job of bringing in players that the fans can feel good about cheering for, most recently demonstrated by Earl Watson’s charming and engaging performance in his fan chat. This is laudable, but these players will need to be able to win games, too.

Bird and Morway have shown the ability to make sound, conservative decisions when those are appropriate. But do they have a vision? Can they make bold, aggressive moves when the opportunity presents itself? Can they create that opportunity, if it is not forthcoming?

Regrettably, the answers to these questions belong to tomorrow. And tomorrow is not coming today.

So until it does, I leave you with one last quote from The Count of Monte Cristo author Alexandre Dumas Pére: “All human wisdom is summed up in two words: wait and hope.”

patience

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Talking About Pacers: July 29, 2009

by Jared Wade on July 29, 2009 at 6:08 pm

In the Indianapolis Star, Mike Wells is saying that the Earl Watson deal is for one-year/$3 million.

Watson signed a one-year deal for almost $3 million with the Pacers on Tuesday.

Yesterday, however, Bruno said that it was a “multi-year deal.”

Though the Pacers are otherwise a relatively young team, their pursuit of Watson, who signed a multi-year deal, sends a message.

Pacers.com also announced a multi-year deal, even titling the link to the story as “Watson signs multi-year deal.” (See screen shot below.)

The Indiana Pacers announced Tuesday they have signed veteran point guard Earl Watson to a multi-year contract. Per club policy, terms of the contract were not released.

Yet, Marc Stein of ESPN was also tweeting that it was a one-year deal as recently as this afternoon.

More bookkeeping to pass along: Indy’s deal with Earl Watson, official as of yesterday, is a one-year arrangement worth $2.8 million.

Generally, you would think the Pacers would be the most accurate here. Who knows though? Maybe there is an extra year(s), but it (they) is (are) nonguaranteed? Hopefully, this will all be sorted out soon enough.

And spsteveneson at Indy Cornrows is hoping Stein and Wells have it correct.

I know one of the things that let me really embrace bringing Watson to this team was the opportunity to also get him off the books next summer with just a one-year deal. That would at least allow the contracts Travis Diener, Watson and possibly T.J. Ford (player option) to vanish into thin air during the big summer of 2010. But a multi-year deal obviously changes that. Maybe he’s a guy who comes back from a bad situation last year and makes us want to keep him, but I’m really hoping that Wells is correct and the Pacers just screwed up their story here.

Meanwhile, Larry Bird thinks that Iverson might be better than Earl, but that Earl is the best free agent point guard for Indy. (Me and Ramon Sessions would probably disagree.)

“I feel he’s the best (free agent point guard) out there,” Pacers president Larry Bird said. “(Allen) Iverson’s out there, but for what we need, he’s the best for us.”

In non-Watson-related news, Frank Dell’apa the Boston Globe is saying that Gabe Pruitt is unlikely to be the player the Pacers would get back for Marquis in a sign-and-trade deal that feels, to me, more unlikely to occur by the day.

Pruitt is unlikely to be used as part of a sign-and-trade deal involving Indiana guard Marquis Daniels, since the Pacers have three point guards. A three-team trade involving Pruitt also is unlikely, a league source said.

NESN also broaches the idea that this whole thing might never happen.

What the Pacers want is promising young basketball players. They want to build a winning team by doing the little things right — they want to find those 24-year-old youngsters with potential and build.

The Pacers have Danny Granger, who gave them 25.8 points and 5.1 rebounds a night last year, under contract through 2014. Yes, that’s right, 2014 — they have a star swingman under their control while in his prime at 26, and they can keep him locked in until he’s 31. Now they just need to find the right complementary pieces to fit around him.

Larry Legend is smart. He knows that the Celtics aren’t offering him those pieces — not for Marquis Daniels, and not for anyone else. The Celtics aren’t giving up young talent.

Which is why finding a third team to complete the Daniels sign-and-trade deal makes sense. The Pacers need young talent and have a good bench player; the Celtics want a good bench player and have expiring contracts. Connect the dots — what Larry and his old budd Danny Ainge need to do is find a GM willing to give up a good young player for the expiring deals of Brian Scalabrine and/or Tony Allen.

That GM might not exist. And if he doesn’t, this whole sign-and-trade idea surrounding Marquis Daniels might just be a pipe dream.

Frank Isola of the New York Daily News is reporting that Jamaal Tinsley wants to play in his hometown even at a discount rate, mainly because Donnie Walsh is the Knicks GM.

Jamaal Tinsley is prepared to sign with the Knicks … assuming Donnie Walsh is willing to make him an offer. A source close to the free agent point guard said that Tinsley will commit to the Knicks, even it means accepting less money than other teams may offer, because he wants to be reunited with Walsh and play in New York. The Brooklyn-born Tinsley, banished all of last season by the Indiana Pacers due to disciplinary reasons, is scheduled to meet with Walsh and coach Mike D’Antoni Wednesday in New York.

Anthony Schoettle of the Indianapolis Business Journal reports on the predictable news that the Colts are a lot more popular than the Pacers.

Local sports marketers said the data has been trending in the Colts’ favor for more than five years.”Because Indiana has deep, deep roots as a basketball state, the numbers might take you back. But they’re consistent with my own surveys and data,” said Mark Rosentraub, sports business author and former dean at IUPUI. “This is certainly a reversal from the Reggie Miller era.”

Josh Dhani of Pacers Pulse talks about Jermaine O’Neal’s days as a Pacer.

On September 1, 2000, the Indiana Pacers made a trade that changed their whole team’s franchise for the next eight years to come. They traded big man Antonio [sic] Davis to the Portland Trailblazers for young, four-year pro Jermaine O’Neal. This was one of the smartest moves in Indiana Pacers history. He wasn’t that all impressive with Portland, as his career-high year with that team was in his second year, 1997, averaging about five points and three rebounds per game. The Pacers were going to have a great power forward/center for years to come.

watson_multiyear

The Pacers are saying Watson signed a “multi-year deal.” Wells and Stein are saying Watson signed a one-year deal. It would be nice to get this figured out.

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Talking About Pacers: July 28, 2009

by Jared Wade on July 28, 2009 at 1:52 pm

“Talking About Pacers” is going to be my attempt at a semi-regular link-dump to any interesting piece of Pacers-related sports writing that I come across. This whole thing might be revamped in the near future, but, for now, that’s what you can expect when you see a post titled that way.

Forsaking extra ado, let’s get after it.

Mark Murphy of the Boston Herald discusses the hold up and potential deal-breaker in the Boston/Indiana sign-and-trade negotiations surrounding Marquis Daniels:

The problem is believed to be Indiana’s lack of interest in guard Tony Allen, whom the Celtics offered to the Pacers. The Celtics also reportedly have attempted to include guard Gabe Pruitt and forward Bill Walker in the package.

Though in the market for another wing player, the Pacers want something the Celtics aren’t willing to offer.

The Pacers, beset by past citizenship issues, reportedly are reluctant to bring in Allen. The guard’s offcourt issues, including death threats in Chicago that required extra bench security during last spring’s playoffs, cut against the grain of Pacers president Larry Bird’s attempt to move away from the legacy of Ron Artest and Jamaal Tinsley.

“They need a third team, and that’s complicated,” one source said. “No other teams have jumped at it so far.”

Fred Kerber of the New York Post speculates about the Nets, who reportedly are interested in Big Baby Glen Davis, becoming that third team:

The Celtics’ proposed sign-and-trade to land free agent Marquis Daniels from the Pacers has run into complications and could lead to the need of a three-team deal. Enter the Nets, with their legitimate interest in Davis, who averaged 15.8 points and 6.0 rebounds during the playoffs last season. The Celtics have indicated they will match any reasonable offer for Davis.

“We have not made any offers to anybody,” Nets team president Rod Thorn said.

UPDATE: Forgot to add Mike Wells’ blog post from yesterday about how the Pacers might fill out the rest of the roster, which could include taking a player or two back from the Celtics or, possibly, acquiring former Rocket guard Luther Head.

The Pacers are expected to resume talks with the Boston Celtics about a possible sign-and-trade deal for Marquis Daniels this week. The Pacers aren’t focusing strictly on a trade with the Celtics to get their 14th, and possibly 15th, player.

They’ve still got their eye on former Illinois guard Luther Head, who can play both guard spots like Jarrett Jack but with a better jumper.

Kerber of the New York Post also mentions Knicks GM Donnie Walsh’s plans to meet with Jamaal Tinsley about playing in MSG next year:

Team president Donnie Walsh hopes to meet with free agent point guard Jamaal Tinsley this week.

Bill Simmons’ favorite movie of the 2000s is inexplicably Almost Famous. I mean, it’s a good flick and all, but better than City of God, Anchorman, Adaptation., There Will Be Blood, X2, Children of Men, No Country for Old Men, Snatch, Old School, Ocean’s Eleven, The Assassination of Jesse James, 25th Hour, The Savages, Zoolander, The Wrestler and Thank You For Smoking (among others)? Everyone is entitled to his or her own opinion, I suppose, but that’s a pretty odd movie to choose as a favorite, especially if you factor in the Lord of the Rings trilogy, The Dark Knight and Iron Man.

Fortunately, my thoughts are generally more aligned with the Sports Guy about the NBA than about the silver screen. Here, he offers some advice to his buddy Chad Ford in the form of a quote from the movie Almost Famous:

13. Listen, my advice to you — and I know you think these guys are your friends — if you wanna be a true friend to them … be honest and unmerciful.

To my ESPN colleague Chad Ford, who wrote about Indiana’s summer (the Pacers added Tyler Hansbrough and Dahntay Jones) that “I like the strategy Larry Bird and David Morway have been employing the past couple of years in Indiana. Instead of swinging for the fences in the draft, they are trying for singles and doubles, and they’re connecting.” All due respect to my favorite Hawaii-based columnist, but doesn’t going for singles and doubles ensure 38 to 40 wins and a mediocre lottery pick every year? What am I missing? How is flipping Jerryd Bayless for Brandon Rush, then having to spend another $11 million on Jones (who does the same things as Rush), hitting a single or a double? I think we need to lace up the gloves and fight on another podcast soon.

Nate Timmons of Nuggets blog Denver Stiffs (which just merged with the Nuggets blog Pickaxe & Roll) seems to agree with Simmons:

I’m fairly confident when I say that adding Afflalo pretty much cements the starting shooting guard spot for J.R. Smith. Afflalo has the ability to be a pretty good perimeter defender and provides some scoring pop that should pretty much wipe out the loss created by Dahntay Jones accepting a deal with the Pacers.

I can’t fault Jones for taking the money and a chance at a starting spot, but I applaud the Denver front office for finding a player on the cheap (just a second round pick) that can come in right away and solidify a rotation spot.

Charley Rosen of Fox Sports thinks the Pacers are the fourth worst team in the NBA. Here’s why:

The best athletes on the Pacers all have significant limitations: Dahntay Jones can’t score. Ditto for Jeff Foster. T.J. Ford is among the most selfish point guards in the league. And Danny Granger can’t defend.

Even worse, the level of athleticism possessed by Troy Murphy, Mike Dunleavy and Tyler Hansbrough is far below average.

Overall, there’s not enough fluid offense and not enough defense of any description for the Pacers to avoid being a chump team.

Ball in Europe speculates about who should be included on an All-Time European Dream Team, and Sarunas Jasikevicius, Detlef Schrempf and Rik Smits all get the nod. Here, he talks about Rik:

When Larry Bird took over as coach in Indiana, the Pacers were transformed into a team which lived and died by perimeter shooting. With four guys out deep, who was there to nail rebound after rebound against the likes of young Shaquille O’Neal and crazed Dennis Rodman? That’s right: The no. 2 overall pick in the 1988 NBA Draft, Rik “The Dutchman” Smits. Despite chronic foot problems, Smits still managed a fine 12-year career of 12,871 points, 5,277 rebounds, and 1,111 blocks mostly as a Robin to Reggie Miller’s Batman.

Dino Nation did an interview with TJ Ford, where they talk about, among other things, a new Texas Longhorns website that TJ has been a part of. (via Indy Cornrows)

T.J along with some of his fellow Longhorns have put together a site called Texas360Now.com. It is a site that is going to feature a lot of former Texas players and let fans get to see them in new exciting ways.

SP Stevenson at Indy Cornrows talks about an uplifting, if unlikely, Jonathan Bender comeback story:

Obviously, it’s going to be a tough road for Bender to get a roster spot in the league again. I have to wish him the best of luck, but has a 28-year-old ever felt so old before? I couldn’t believe he was only 28 when I read the article, and I wouldn’t be surprised if his body couldn’t believe it either. I’m sure some fans will speculate on a return to Indy, but that’s highly unlikely to happen.

Again, the Disney storyline is compelling: A teen prodigy is derailed by injuries and is forced to retire at an early age; he spends his retirement doing boatloads of community service in New Orleans to help build houses after Hurrican Katrina; he attempts a comeback and scores the game-winning basket in Game 7 of the NBA Finals.

Sounds like a hit movie to me.

magic kingdom

Jonathan Bender certainly oughta wish upon a star if he wants to play in the NBA again.

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Exiting the Tinsley Bear Trap

by Tim Donahue on July 24, 2009 at 8:58 am

They finally did it. The Pacers finally “freed” themselves of the steel bear trap that is Jamaal Tinsley’s contract. They spent more than a year desperately trying to find a trading partner for the mercurial point guard, but to no avail. So, with an arbitration hearing to formally resolve the issue less than a week away, Indiana’s leadership elected to be done with the matter once and for all. Wednesday afternoon, they gnawed through their ankle to escape and bought out Jamaal’s contract.

Per policy, neither the Pacers nor Tinsley’s agent commented on any terms of the deal. Both sides were cordial and resolute not to discuss anything publicly. This, of course, prevented anyone from knowing how much the Pacers paid — for nearly 12 full hours.

Mike Wells of the Indianapolis Star soon reported that the buyout agreement will pay Tinsley approximately $10.7 million of the $14.7 million remaining on the last two years of his contract.

When a player is bought out, the amount of the buyout replaces the original salary on the team’s payroll for salary cap purposes. It is spread over the remaining years with the same timing as the original contract. So in buying out Jamaal’s contract, the Pacers were able to immediately reduce their cap figure by roughly $1.9 million this year and $2.1 million next season. (Or, if Jamaal signs with another team for greater than the veteran’s minimum, which is $1.2 million for a player of Tinsley’s age and experience, the Pacers’ cap hit will be reduced by one half of the difference between the contract signed and the minimum.)

That’s what happened. But what does it mean?

The Bloody Stump

There’s very little question that the resolution of the “Tinsley question” was vital to the Pacers future. There is a sense of overwhelming relief flowing throughout the Pacer faithful. With Jamaal’s departure, the team is rid of the last of the players identified with the utter embarrassment that has befallen this franchise in the five years since the infamous Malice in the Palace in November 2004.

Furthermore, both the $4.0 million savings and clearing roster spot are going to be very valuable to this team over the next two years. These both give the team flexibility, and there are few more precious commodities for a team operating in such tight fiscal quarters. This move has allowed the Pacers to move forward.

But while they have freed themselves from the bear trap, they’re not entirely out of the woods yet. While the team did save $4.0 million, it’s important to remember that they really did have to “gnaw off an ankle” to get it. Indiana will still be paying $10.7 million to a player who is likely going to be wearing another uniform. That’s close to 10% of their total cap going to dead salary.

While the $14.7 million owed to Tinsley seemed particularly onerous given the fact that he won’t play, it should be noted that it pales in comparison to the $23.0 million owed to Troy Murphy over the next two years. Mike Dunleavy is similarly owed $20.3 million over the next two years, and even the most optimistic estimates don’t have him returning to the lineup before the January, 2010. And TJ Ford and Jeff Foster are still under contract for $17.0 million and $12.7 million, respectively, over the next two years.

As everyone knows, this franchise was dealt a severe blow by the brawl all those years ago. Just as much damage has been done by desperate reactionary moves since then, however.

Follow the bouncing ball:

(1) Ron Artest burns his Indianapolis bridge by demanding a trade and is traded for (2) Peja Stojakovic, who gets a ridiculous offer from (3) New Orleans, who agrees to do a sign-and-trade deal that gives the Pacers front office (4) a “trade exception” that they use to acquire (5) Al Harrington — who comes over from the Hawks to begin his second tenure as a Pacer, aka, Al Harrington Part Deux, aka, 2 Al 2 Harrington — but he flops both critically and commercially at the box office and gets lumped into another deal with Golden State as a sweetener so that the Pacers can unload (6) Stephen Jackson (who, believe it or not, was a bigger pariah in the community than either Ron Artest or the bear trap in question here) in a trade that nets a return of (7) Mike Dunleavy, (8) Troy Murphy, and (9) something on the order of $33 million in additional salary, which virtually guarantees that there is no way that the Pacers would be able to offer a significant extension for the 2009-2010 season to (10) Danny Granger without unloading the $23 million salary owed to (11) Jermaine O’Neal at that time.

Phew…

Now, Jamaal’s buyout basically ensures that the Pacers will not only stay under the luxury tax threshold this season but probably still have $2 to $3 million of wiggle room once they fill out their roster. This helps in a number of ways, the first of which aligns with the rumored Pacers/Celtics sign-and-trade deal that will send Marquis Daniels to Boston. The buyout and the resulting wiggle room makes almost any of the proposed scenarios with Boston doable without a threat of exceeding the luxury tax limit. (The popular speculation has the Pacers acquiring one or more of Bill Walker, Eddie House, Tony Allen, JR Giddens or Gabe Pruit if the deal goes through.)

That breathing room will evaporate next summer, however. With doom-and-gloom projections coming from the NBA corporate office, it is likely that the luxury tax threshold will drop from $69.9 million this year to no more than $65.0 million next season — and people are saying it could drop as low $62.0 million if the NBA’s overall “basketball-related income” drops by a scary-but-possible 5 percent.

Meanwhile, the Pacers are already committed to over $62.5 million in guaranteed contracts next season for only nine players. If you include the partially unguaranteed contract of Josh McRoberts and the guaranteed contract of the team’s first round pick next summer, they would already eclipse the potential $65 million luxury tax ceiling — and they would still need to fill three or four roster spots.

The Shining Beacon of Hope

The Pacers have paid the luxury tax in the past – and spent several years with one of the higher payrolls in the League – but they have been absolutely committed to avoiding it over the last two to three years. This financial philosophy makes perfect sense given the team’s current level of performance both on the floor and on the bottom line. Fiscal prudence isn’t exciting, but it’s a necessary quality if the franchise is to survive these rocky days of sparse attendance and apathetic public support in Indianapolis.

As the ship gets back on course, the summer of 2011 is the shining beacon for both Pacer ownership and Pacer fans. It is the hope held in the distance — the day Indiana can finally be back on track to make the bold, aggressive moves necessary to improve this franchise’s lot.

The Pacers have over $43 million in contracts that expire in the summer of 2011. These can be used either to create cap space to acquire free agents or as trading chips before the trade deadline in 2011. Given the Pacers history on the free agent market — or, more accurately, the lack thereof — the popular assumption is that major talent acquisition must be done through trade or the draft.

Thus, it will be very important to watch how the Pacers organization, and specifically its ownership, approaches the 2010-2011 luxury tax issue. Recent history says they will do what they can to get avoid the tax. But clearing salary will be difficult and Indiana will have a tough time finding takers for contract dumps. They face two separate issues that preclude teams from wanting to take on salary: (1) the declining, Leaguewide basketball-related income and salary cap structure, and (2) the rapidly approaching, much-ballyhooed and long-dreamt-about summer of 2010, the year for which many teams have been specifically clearing space to lure big fish free agents like LeBron James, Dwyane, Chris Bosh, Dirk Nowitzki and Carlos Boozer.

There are two crucial questions here:

1.    Can the Pacers find a way to avoid the luxury tax for the 2010-2011 season?
2.    Can they do it without severely undermining their opportunities for the following summer?

Hoping the Wound Will Heal

The Pacers are certainly not in an enviable position. The relief gained from the Tinsley buyout, while fantastic emotionally, is limited financially. It continues to be a step in the right direction, however. The team seemed to not understand how to cut their losses, as evidenced by the Artest to Peja to Harrington to Holy-Mary-Mother-of-God-who-gave-them-those-contracts routine.

Tinsley’s buyout may have been a blow to the pride of Bird and the Simons, and I’m sure it gives plenty of Pacers fans heartburn. Still, it was the prudent thing to do. Bird, Morway, et al, face a grueling uphill climb to get a competitive team on the floor while straightening out the finances.

I guess we’ll find out if they’re up to the job.

bear trap

Eight years ago as a rookie, Jamaal Tinsley averaged 9.4 ppg and 8.1 apg and looked like one of the most promising young players in the game. After a long-term contract extension and a series of off-court problems, however, the Pacers are now viewing the reality of paying him to not play for the team as a relief — even if the actual cap relief of the buyout is minimal.

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