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Josh Smith

On this site, we have generally — and rightfully so in my eyes, obviously — been critical of the way the Pacers have played down the stretch. They went on a six-game losing streak early in March. They pulled out of this tailspin with back-to-back wins over the Knicks and that was encouraging, but they looked very poor, both execution- and effort-wise, while being blown out by both the Celtics and the Grizzlies soon after. They looked just as bad, and perhaps worse, during much of a win over the Nets. Still, they had a huge win over the Bulls and smoked the Bobcats, their main competition for the final playoff spot in the East, so it was hard to overreact. Then they lost back-to-back games to the lowly Kings and Pistons.

At that point, this team was a such mess of inconsistency that looked to be still reeling from internal issues and general apathy — not to mention mediocre talent — that to expect anything more than this team limping into the playoffs like a sickly gazelle whose life would soon end at the hand of the lion that is Derrick Rose seemed foolish.

But now? This team is starting to resemble the theoretical incarnation of the Pacers that would have a “special end of the year,” according to Frank Vogel back in February after they got off to a good start under his watch. Let’s not go overboard: there has been nothing special about the past few months. The Pacers are 13-13 since the All-Star break. But after spanking the Hawks last night 114-102, they are now 5-1 in their past six games, which include an impressive win over the Celtics. Throw in the wins over New Jersey and Charlotte and they are 7-3 over their past 10.

Granted, the wins over Boston and Atlanta (which were without Josh Smith) are the only Ws I would consider impressive, but victories are victories and this is the way you want to look heading into the playoffs. If they can just split their final two vs. New York and in Orlando, that would go a long way to actually making the Bulls consider the Pacers a team they don’t really want to see in the playoffs.

Maybe I’m over-reacting to a little recent success. (I mean, they did get flattened by the Chris Paul express the other day and, at home, barely held off a Bucks team that shot 42.5%). But I now fully expect this team to get a win in a series against the Bulls and wouldn’t be shocked to see them take two.

Much of this is due to the re-emergence of Good Danny Granger.

He put up 28 points last night and is now shooting 49.1% in four April games. Perhaps more important than him shooting well, however, is where he is shooting from. Only 3 of his 18 shot attempts against the Hawks came from behind the three-point line. This is a nice trend and, in fact, he has only attempted more than 5 threes in a game once since March 21. By contrast, he took 6 or more 12 times during the 2010-11 Pacers doldrum days in December and January. (He perhaps not-so-coincidentally shot 37.7% and 43.5% from the floor in those months, respectively.) Additionally, this is all part of a season-long trend of cutting down on his favorite shot; Danny is shooting 2 fewer threes per night this year compared to last (5.1 three-point attempts per game instead of 7.1) and will finish the year with fewer taken per game than he has since 2007.

Mike Wells wrote about this increasing focus Danny Granger has had on scoring in the paint.

The scouting report on Indiana Pacers forward Danny Granger has been pretty simple.

He has a tendency, scouts say, to become enamored with the jump shot, especially 3-pointers.

Granger is doing his best to shake that label now that the playoffs are a week away and the defensive intensity will go up to a different level.

On Friday, he mixed in drives to the basket, post-ups and an occasional jumper to score 28 points in the Pacers’ 114-102 victory over the Atlanta Hawks at Conseco Fieldhouse.

“I’m trying to be assertive because I do realize the playoffs are a different game,” Granger said. “Teams know your plays and everything. Sets don’t work as much. It comes down to who has the better players.”

Further adding to this is the fact that Granger is getting to the line more of late. He went 11 times last night, making 8. This comes on the heels of a 9 FTA game against Washington and gives Danny an 8.0 FTA average so far through 4 April games — which means he has increased his FTA per game average in each month of the NBA season (November: 4.7, December: 5.5, January: 5.8, February: 6.4, March: 6.8, April: 8.0).

That stat right there goes a long way to helping ease the fears that many, including myself, have had that Granger may never again re-discover the efficient scoring he displayed during his breakout 2008-09 season. Since then, he has undeniably developed some bad habits when it comes to shot-selection and consistently maintaining the discipline to penetrate into the lane. But the increasing willingness he has shown this year to get to the line as the hopes for the season have improved offer some encouragement that he may be able to get back to form within a better offense someday.

Moving on …

After last night’s game, I also got to say something I expected to be saying much more routinely this year: Danny Granger and Darren Collison both had excellent games. Part of the reason this hasn’t been the case more often is that DC just didn’t have a lot of great games in the first few months of the year. As we have discussed, he seemed shackled within Jim O’Brien’s offense in a way we no longer see. It wasn’t all the former coach’s fault though; he just was making poor decisions at times.

Regardless, Collison had his fourth double-digit assist game of the year last night. And it was the night after his third of the year. This also makes the 9th time in his last 16 games that he has recorded at least 7 assists. That might not be cause for celebration for many floor generals around the league, but it kinda is for a starting point guard in this league who is only averaging 5.1 dimes per night for the year.

Even better has been his scoring. He has double-figure points in each of his past six games, during which he is shooting a video-game-esque 70.7%. And it’s not like he is doing this on 3 shots a game; he is 41-for-58 during these last six games — five of which, remember, have been Pacers wins.

Lastly, recently we were talking about just how many wire-to-wire losses Indiana has this year. They had four in March, for example. A wire-to-wire loss is so disheartening because, in essence, the team basically never had a chance and, by definition, the team never had a lead.

Well, last night, the Pacers had a wire-to-wire win.

Sure, the Hawks don’t scare anyone anymore and Josh Smith wasn’t even playing. But that’s not the point. The Pacers are looking good late … that’s the point. And that was something few expected to see just a few short weeks ago.

Is that progress?

I think, by definition, it is.

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Hawks Handle Pacers with Ease

by Jared Wade on November 17, 2010 at 10:30 am · 3 comments

I’m not sure how much we can really take away from this game. It wasn’t pretty, for sure, but it’s hard to precisely pinpoint anything that the team did terribly wrong. Until December hits, I usually look for not just individual ruined possessions, blown defensive assignments or poor execution, but for things that might be larger trends that will become part of the season-long narrative.

Can’t say I saw much that qualifies last night.

This is in part because Indy was missing two rotation guys that we expect to see a lot of minutes this year. But it was also just one of those games: mundane, November fodder where the better team outclasses a weaker opponent.

So in lieu of anything cohesive, here’s a short list of thoughts/observations:

  • The shot chart shows what was pretty obvious: the Hawks were on-point with their jumpers. Was this bad defense or just good shooting? Which came first, the chicken or the egg? It’s obviously a combo of both. Atlanta’s 50% shooting with this many jumpers perhaps speaks to just good shooting (as does its 53% shooting from behind the arc, where they knocked down 8 triples). Regardless, the silver lining is that the Pacers did protect the interior relatively well. On the flip side, when you are the home team and you outscore your opponent 38-20 in the paint, you should probably win.
  • 16 turnovers is definitely too high but it’s not “you probably can’t win the game now” too high. When 16 turnovers lead to 23 points, however, it’s a different story. Tim Donahue mentioned to me that he’s not sure exactly what the normal ratio is leaguewide, but “that seems awfully high.” I have to agree.
  • Josh Smith is a beast. Notes Tom Lewis of Indy Cornrows: “Smith’s six points late in the second quarter was a sign of things to come as the high-flying forward was too much for the Pacers to handle in the second half. Not only did Smith finish with 25 points and 8 rebounds, he also swatted 7 shots and altered a few more along the way.” It will be a sad day in February if he fails to be invited to the All-Star Game again.
  • Roy Hibbert was uber-active on the glass, snatching a career-high 15 boards. It was a very encouraging sight. I think everyone was hoping that a slimmed down Hibbert could improve his as-yet-in-his-career terrible rebounding numbers. This, and a few other games earlier this year, provide a good indicator that a corner can be turned.
  • The third quarter was disgusting. 6-for-16 as a team for just 16 points. It’s tough to beat bad teams when you string together that type of 12-minute stinkfest. Beating a team like ATL after doing so becomes a borderline Herculean task.
  • There are plays, like the pass into the stands he made that looked more like an NFL punt, during which Brandon Rush looks like the worst player in the league.
  • TJ Ford was really, really bad. Mike Bibby should probably not look that good. I’ll leave it at that out of respect for Ford’s family.
  • That’s all I got. It wasn’t a particularly captivating contest.

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Atlanta Hawks 94 – Indiana Pacers 84

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Well, you knew it couldn’t go on forever.  Heck, you’re probably still not sure that the Pacers really and truly had a five-game winning streak.  Regardless, it all ground to a halt in the second half as the Pacer offense that had been running like well-oiled machine seized up.

Atlanta is a tough matchup for our boys in Blue.  Their frontcourt is quick and athletic, capable of protecting the rim and controlling the glass.  Backcourt mates Joe Johnson, Mike Bibby, and Jamal Crawford all can make you pay if you lose them on the perimeter.

The most glaring advantage Atlanta has is in the pivot, where Al Horford has just destroyed Roy Hibbert all season long.  In the first two matchups, Horford has outscored Roy 49-12, outrebounded him 35-13, and recorded 7 blocks vs. only 2 for Roy.  Still, those were both played before the first of the year, and Hibbert has made some great strides since then.

Unfortunately, not great enough.  A good chunk of the story can be seen on their comparative shot charts:

alvroy

The Pacers tried to work Roy early, but he missed his first four shots as Horford used his strength to force Roy into jump hooks from just a foot or two outside his comfort zone.  Meanwhile, Horford continually found himself wide open for 12 to 15-foot jumpers, and he capitalized.  Hibbert either got lost in rotations or (understandably) gave the Hawks’ center space due to a lack of foot speed.  At the end of the day, Horford posted 18 points and 12 boards, essentially in three quarters of play.  Conversely, Roy managed only 6 points and 2 rebounds in 23 ineffectual minutes.

As for the rest of the Pacers, they posted an impressive 31-point 1st 1uarter, buoyed by 6-of-9 shooting from beyond the arc.  Brandon Rush drained all four three-point tries in his 12 first quarter minutes, and the Pacers entered the 2nd up 31-26.  From there, it was a tough road-a-hoe.

Over the next 36 minutes, the Pacers managed only 53 points while hitting only 2 of their 17 threes.  Brandon Rush, who was so hot in the first, didn’t play at all in the second, then went 1-for-5 from the floor the rest of the game and was generally nonexistent.  At least twice in the second half, he was completely exploited defensively by Jamal Crawford.  Rush committed a dumb foul on Joe Johnson late in the first.  It’s unclear as to whether his second quarter absence was some sort of punishment by O’Brien, or if it was because Brandon had two fouls.  Unfortunately, there was no Pacer TV coverage, and Mike Wells didn’t make the trip to Atlanta, so we’ll have to wait to find out what happened there.

Danny played a good, bordering on great, floor game today, but couldn’t buy a bucket.  He scored 18 points on 7-for-19 shooting.  He did play some good defense, and his attacking the basket was creating the few second quarter opportunities the Pacers got.  Unfortunately, any day that finds both Danny and Roy struggling to score is pretty much going to doom the Pacers limited offense.

Watson, like Rush, played a fantastic first quarter, then showed us his down side.  Josh McRoberts was unable to repeat his recent aerobatics, as he was at an athletic disadvantage to Josh Smith, Marvin Williams, and Al Horford.  Solo got the call after McBob’s first rotation, and performed admirably, posting 7 points and 7 boards.  AJ Price and Dahntay Jones, God Love ‘em, played like hot garbage.  The only Pacer who was able to maintain his play of late was Troy Murphy, with 21 points and 14 rebounds.

Still, despite being overwhelmed by the Hawks, the Pacers largely kept their heads in the game.  This wasn’t a game where they just rolled over.  No question they were soundly beaten in the second half, but they kept chasing it.  The Pacers have had several losses this year where the final score was closer than the game really was.  This game was really closer than the fourth quarter and the final score showed.

None of it was good enough, and the Pacers dropped their 47th game in 74 tries.  It’s long been a foregone conclusion, but if Toronto holds onto the double-digit lead they hold in Miami late in the third, then the Pacers will officially be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs.  One more loss, and the Pacers will be guaranteed of having their worst record in 21 seasons.

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Game #1 Preview: Sekou Smith Talks Hawks

by Jared Wade on October 28, 2009 at 9:14 am · 1 comment

The plan we’ve conjured up in the 8.9 Lab is to provide yall with a preview of every game this season. Generally, we’ll put them up the day of. On occasion, they may go up earlier. And at other times, life will get in the way and they will not appear at all. Thems the breaks, but we’ll do our very best to bring it for all 82.

We’ll probably mix up the format from game to game to keep things interesting, sometimes interviewing people more familiar with the opponent and other times just writing a straight preview ourselves. Maybe we’ll even dig up some wildcard methods here and there to keep you on your toes. For the opener, however, we obviously don’t have a ton of interesting things to say other than “Welcome back, oh sweet, sweet NBA basketball goodness.”

Thus, I reached out to a man who always has a ton of interesting things to say: Sekou Smith

Many of you are already very familiar with Sekou from his work covering the Pacers, among other things, at the Indianapolis Star from 2002 to December 2004. To the dismay of many a Hoosier, he took his reporter hat and engaging prose with him to Atlanta thereafter and has since been holding down the Hawks beat for the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, blogging regularly on the paper’s Hawks Blog and relaying all the NBA news fit to tweet through his @sekousmith01 feed.

Honestly, who could be better to provide some perspective on tonight’s season opener for both the Pacers and the Hawks from the ATL? And fortunately, he was gracious enough to share some of his vast Hawks knowledge with you 8p9s readers.

Here’s a Q&A we did yesterday, with me asking the Qs and Sekou bringing the As.

atlanta hawks logo

Between Joe Johnson, Mike Bibby and Jamal Crawford, the Hawks have a ton of offensive firepower in the back court — and three guys who all took a ton of threes last year (each had more than 5 three-point attempts per game last season). Do you see them all continuing to put up a lot of shots or do you see either Bibby or Joe making a concerted effort to make sure guys like Horford and Josh Smith get more shots near the hoop?

I don’t know that Bibby or Joe will sacrifice shots for the other guys, but I think their minutes (should be) curbed to the point that they’ll be forced to give up some shots in the process. If anything, I think Crawford’s assist game will stun some people, mostly because he’s such a willing passer, and he’ll be on the floor with guys that can finish (Smith, Horford, Joe and Marvin Williams).

There are two things I think most NBA players are loathe to surrender (consciously) and that’s shots and minutes. So don’t expect any humanitarian moves from anyone for the sake of the greater good.

Speaking of Josh Smith and threes, he said this summer that he needs to stay away from the allure of the perimeter and instead focus on getting to the rim off the dribble and scoring in the paint. Will he abide by that pledge or will he fall back into settling for too many jumpers?

He’s going to take some jumpers. There’s no doubt about that. But in seven preseason games he didn’t take a single 3-pointer. That’s a stunning stretch for a guy that treats threes like those old Lay’s potato chip ads (“Bet you just can’t eat one”). Well, some of Josh’s teammates have wondered aloud if he’ll be able to keep from taking just one. Time will tell. It’s obvious that his game is far more effective when he’s doing other things. Plus, there are so many other guys capable that he needs to steer clear of the three-point line anyway.

People forget that Marvin Williams is only 23 years old. And last year, he started to look like he was really about to begin making good on some of his enormous potential. How has he looked in camp and will we see his game progress even further this year?

I’ve been getting roasted on my own blog for floating the idea that Marvin was having a breakout season last year before being sacked by that back injury late in the season. He’s looked good in camp and Marvin’s always been better than he gets credit for. He’s always going to get venom around here because he’s not Chris Paul or Deron Williams. I thought that theme would have vanished a bit by now, but it remains strong.

He’s still a youngster, as are Josh Smith and Al Horford. So they’ve all still got room to improve. One of them has to move up to the next level this year if the Hawks want to challenge for anything more than the fourth spot and another 12-15 game playoff run.

No one ever talks about Zaza. But he’s got a cool name and a solid game to match. Discuss.

No one ever talks about Zaza? Where? He’s a fan favorite down here. Maybe not to Austin Croshere proportions, but folks down here love him. Some love to hate him because of his antics on the offensive end and his complaining to the officials. But he earns his money, which can’t be said for a lot of 7-footers in the NBA. (You know who you are).

Zaza is a renaissance man of sorts. He’s a restaurateur, a fashion icon (mostly in his own mind, ha) and one of the all-around best cats you’ll ever meet. His game isn’t sexy and he’s not going to tote the load for you as a starter, but he’s a valuable player here. There’s no shame in that.

Few Pacer fans — or any NBA fans, honestly — know much about Solomon Jones. Were you ever impressed by anything other than his athleticism and do you think he will emerge as a decent rotation guy for the Pacers this year?

Solo was always intriguing here. Remember, he was the Hawks’ second-round pick the year they whiffed with Shelden Williams as the fifth pick in the draft. It took me all of two weeks of rookie camp to realize that Solo had more physical potential than Shelden. He was just so raw. He worked at it, though, which is a credit to the kid. He worked on his offensive game and did what he could to improve his physical deficiencies. That’s what I want to see out of a developmental player in his first couple of years.

The thing I’ve always liked best about Solo, though, is that he’ll dish out a hard foul. He slapped the DNA off of Andre Iguodala a couple years ago and got tangled up with Dwyane Wade in the playoffs last year without hesitation. That impresses me, when a dude like that isn’t afraid to knock a superstar on his tail. I was sad to see Solo leave. At the same time, I realized he was going to a situation (and particularly an offense) that suited his talents a little better.

Jeff Teague is a guy I thought would have been a great fit for the Pacers back court. How’s he looking so far and what do you expect from his as a pro?

Teague has been fantastic, sans his 0-for-everything shooting performance from the floor in the preseason finale Friday in Orlando. I lived in Pike Township when I was in Indy, so I knew he came from good prep basketball stock. I watched very little of him at Wake Forest, so I had to do some research on him this summer with people I know back in Indy and around the league. Everyone raved about his game and his personality, and they were right. He seems like a great kid.

The key to his season will be consistent minutes. If he starts in the 12-18 range and moves into the 20-25 range as the season goes on, I can see him being a major factor for this team. The only missing piece to his game right now is a consistent outside stroke. That’ll come with work before and after practice, which he’s been putting in alongside Mike Bibby, Joe Johnson and Jamal Crawford on a daily basis. That’s good company for a young guy.

You left the Indianapolis Star very soon after the brawl. How has it been to watch all the turmoil of the past few years and how do you view the overall state of the franchise now? More specifically, how do you think the team will do this season?

I did leave right after the brawl. The Christmas day rematch game between the Pacers and Pistons was my last day. I’ve been floored by all the fallout since then. Mark Montieth and I have had many long conversations about it since then. I’m not sure I’ve witnessed a more complete gutting of a once-proud franchise in such a short period of time. And I certainly have no idea if you can point to just one culprit. (I know Ron Artest is the easy target.)

Still to this day, I’ve thought that the turning point was the summer they had to decide what to do with Brad Miller and Jermaine O’Neal. Plenty of people have disagreed with me on that, including Mark (who remains a great friend to this day). I just felt like free agency forced them to dismantle a team on the cusp of something big. Once the core of that team was scattered it was pretty much a matter of time. More than anything, it reminded me what a hell of a job Donnie Walsh did building that thing the way he did. To last that long in this era of professional sports is an accomplishment in itself. Donnie held it together for so long, so to see some people taking shots at him once he left was more than a bit disingenuous to me. The brawl and the aftermath just sped up the process.

As for this season, I won’t count them out before actually seeing them with my own eyes. But I don’t have them in the pool of playoff hopefuls I’m expecting big things from.

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