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Orlando Magic

Indiana Pacers 98, Orlando Magic 109

————

The only positive thing I can say about the way the Pacers are playing lately is that they are really helping me brush up on my math skills. They have trailed by at least 23 points in four of their last six games, and I have spent the bulk of that time trying to calculate things like 52 minus 28 or the difference between 33 and 17. And for this, I must thank you, Pacers. Because aside from the division it takes to split dinner checks six ways or the occasional time zone change, my mathematical abilities are seldom-used and decaying by the day.

Some people might say, “But Jared, what about the comeback in the 4th? They cut the deficit to 8 at one point after a Troy trey and a nice pull-up jumper by Granger.” Well, Mrs. Theoretical Question Poser With a Detailed Memory of the 4th Quarter Play-By-Play, that was what we at 8p9s like to call a “faux comeback.”

You see, it is very hard for an NBA team that is up by 15 or more points to really keep playing optimally. Players relax a little, take some off-balance shots, throw a few cutesy passes around and just generally lose that “edge” that makes them go for the jugular. And normally, it doesn’t matter. They still win. It’s human nature to ease up a little, and although I’m sure all coaches reprimand their players for it, it’s infrequent that it ever leads to a to a monumental collapse. Things like what the Pacers did last week — coming back from 23 down — are very rare. That’s why it’s so incredibly odd that it happened twice in a row.

But it doesn’t mean they have some uncanny ability to comeback. It’s just an meaningless oddity for Elias Sports to track. Something really irregular happened. And then it happened again. Weird. But not particularly relevant to the rest of the season. The odds are overwhelmingly against it ever occurring again, and if you ask anyone in the Suns or Raptors organization “What happened, dude?” they would undoubtedly say “We totally blew it” and not “Man, those Pacers just don’t quit.”

The Pacers made some shots in the second half and between that and a long offensive drought for Orlando in to start the fourth quarter allowed Indiana to make this thing look respectable. But it really wasn’t.

The fact is that the Pacers have to play very, very well to beat a team as talented as Orlando. And by picking up three fouls in less than three minutes, Danny Granger pretty much assured that that was not going to happen. You could argue that Jim O’Brien should have taken him out after he picked up foul number two (on a charge) just 1:06 into the game. But Danny needs to understand that this team needs him on the floor and not pick up that third one. Still, foul number three again came on offense while he was being aggressive — and I’ve been pleading with him to be more aggressive offensively off the bounce all year — so I really can’t be too, too upset at that. Had it been a reach-in foul or an over-the-back, I would be less understanding.

After he went to bench, the Magic scored 9 points on their next four possessions (3 threes with a Dwight Howard offensive foul in between) to start an 18-10 run and take a 26-12 lead overall. So O’Brien figured, as Orlando color commentator Matt Guokas said, “why not?” and put Danny back in with a few minutes left in the first quarter.

It didn’t really help.

The Magic ended the first up 40-20 and the game felt all but over. “Can the Pacers petition the league for running time” is how my 8p9s co-conspirator Tim Donahue put it soon after. It’s hard to pinpoint exactly what went wrong — other than everything — and I’m not going to waste your time listing all the bad possessions Indy wasted and the defensive assignments they blew. But the worst of the worst came from Mike Dunleavy. Twice during the quarter, he was the man responsible for stopping the 6′1″, 34-year-old Jason Williams from scoring on the break. And both times, he gave such a lacksadaisical, pseudo attempt at defense that I was personally embarrassed for him. No one is ever going to confuse Lil’ Dun for Ron Artest, but JWill was able to not only freeze him but make him nearly flinch away like an abused dog just with a simple head-and-shoulder fake to such a degree that the layup was uncontested at the cup both times. Truly awful stuff from Mike.

But it wasn’t just Junior, obviously. In their win over Orlando just two weeks ago, Indiana allowed 24 free-throw attempts and 38.4% shooting while committing 11 turnovers in the whole game. In just one quarter tonight, they allowed 11 free-throw attempts and 60.9% shooting while coughing up the rock 7 times.

And, oh yeah, those 40 points.

The second quarter wasn’t as bad statistically, but there wasn’t much qualitative improvement inside my TV set. Nonexistent defense once again allowed a 9-points-in-four-possession stretch after two threes and a silly Dahntay Jones foul during a Ryan Anderson three point attempt. After the accurate big man made all three freebies, the Magic were up 59-30 and this one was academic.

According to Mike Wells of the Indianapolis Star, Coach ripped the team a new one at the half. Danny, for his part, at least realized he deserved it.

“He got into (us),” Granger said. “We’re not always tied together as a team. We make selfish plays on offense and defense. We argue with each other instead of getting mad at the other team. We deserve everything he told us. We can’t get down 25 points every game we play.”

You can head over there or perhaps Cornrows (haven’t actually read Tom’s piece yet) for more on the “comeback.”

Me? I’m not gonna waste your time pretending that was based on reality. That was just Orlando taking their foot off Indy’s throat for a few minutes until they realized the dog wasn’t completely dead.

But it was.

There might have been a little movement left, but it was just their residual tension in their muscles twitching around before the clocked ticked all the way to zero in what was their 17th double-digit loss of the season. For perspective, they only had 14 last year. And that was in 82 games, not 42.

Five Other Things

(1) Hibbert was virtually worthless this time against Dwight after having perhaps the best game of his career against Superman last time out. 3 points and 3 boards in 18 minutes. Thanks for coming out.

(2) Matt Guokas is perhaps my favorite announcer in the league not named Clyde Frazier. He had an extended exchange with play-by-play guy David Steele about whether or not Dwight should continue to shoot the 15- to 18-footers that he was banking in against the Lakers on Monday. Steele said that he ought to as long as he can make 50% of them, just to keep the defense honest. But since he shoots such a high percentage around the rim, shooting anything less than 50% from the mid-range wouldn’t make the benefits worth it. Guokas then explained to him that almost no one in the entire NBA shoots 50% from the mid-range (NBA average from 10-23 feet is about 40%), and that Dwight’s 70% rate of finishing around the rim, while impressive, is not other-worldly. Indeed, some 100 NBA players shoot well above 65% at the hoop and his 45.9% shooting on those shots that aren’t layups but are within 10 feet is actually pretty low. (Derrick Rose, for example, shoots 61% on these attempts, while KG shoots 59% and even Chris Kaman is around 55%.) I’m expounding a little here on Guokas’ exact thoughts by getting so specific, but hearing a color commentator discuss the nuances of shot location efficiency on TV is the type of thing that gets me all sorts of dork excited. It provides such hope for the future of advanced stat stuff and at the same time exposes the ignorance maintained by many of those tasked with explaining the game to the mass public. No offense to Steele, who I usually like, but Guokas showed how much better and well-prepared he was to talk about basketball in public in under a minute. It was the highlight of the game for me. Not sure who that’s sadder for: me or the Pacers.

(3) Granger finished with a decent stat line and looked better in the second half. 25 points on 9/19 with 6 boards isn’t bad. Shooting 2/7 from behind the arc sure is though. Same ol’, same ol’.

(4) Matt Barnes got hyped early in this one, in part by drawing two offensive fouls from Danny Granger in the opening three minutes. This all culminated in him collecting a career-high 16 boards. Not sure where, but I distinctly recall someone saying Indy shouldn’t let him be a sparkplug in the opening quarter. Similarly, Vince Carter had a sweet alley-oop dunk in the first quarter. That, too, was something that the sage wisdom I read earlier recommended the Pacers avoid. AND IF I RECALL CORRECTLY, HE WROTE IT IN ALL CAPITAL LETTERS FOR EMPHASIS SINCE THAT’S HOW BLOGGERS MAKE POINTS DRAMATICALLY. I don’t remember who wrote that though. (Spoiler alert: it was me today in “Other Things” #3 and #5. And the point here isn’t that I’m particularly smart — that’s provably false. The point is that this stuff is rather obvious. You don’t let Matt Barnes be a factor when your main concern has to be slowing down Dwight, Rashard and Vince.)

(5) I got nothing else. This game sucked.

The Saddest Place on Earth: By The Numbers

Pacers @ Magic
98 Score 109
0 Largest Lead 29
97.0 Offensive Efficiency 107.9
48.7% eFG% 56.0%
44.8% (34/76) FG% 49.4% (37/75)
25.0% (6/24) 3PT% 38.5% (10/26)
72.8% (24/33) FT% 67.6% (25/37)
35 (7) Rebounds (Off.) 50 (12)
19 (28) Turnovers (Points Led To) 21 (21)
34 Points in the Paint 42
9 Fast Break Points 32
13 Assists 25

Post-Game Essentials: Box Score | PM Game Flow | Play-By-Play | Shot Chart | Behind the Box Score | Indy Star Recap | Cornrows Recap | AP Recap | Pacer’s Digest Post Game

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Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic
Wednesday, January 20
7:00 PM EST
The O-Rena
Orlando, Florida

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Although the Pacers beat the Magic 97-90 in a rather quick-paced game (98 possessions) two weeks ago in Indianapolis, neither team took a lot of threes — at least not by their standards. The Pacers average 22.0 3PAs per game (6th highest in the NBA) but only took 16 (and only made a pedestrian 5). Orlando averages a league-high 28.5 3PAs per game, but “only” took 22 (and made 9, which while a ton, is just under how many they expect to make each night).

You would think that when two “live by the three, die by the three” squads meet up, we would see a total shootout. But that wasn’t the case here. And seeing that Orlando definitely “lived by the three” by both being more accurate from distance and scoring a higher percentage (30%) of their points on threes, you would think that the Magic would have won.

So how did the Pacers win with such relative ease over one of the four or five teams that most experts think can actually win the title this year?

They played good defense (Orlando shot 38.4%), didn’t foul as much as usual (24 FTAs vs. the 30 they normally allow) and didn’t turn the ball over (only 11 turnovers vs. the 14.8 they average).

Of course, there was also a great game from Roy Hibbert — quite likely the best game of his career in fact. He was fantastic on the block and clearly had Dwight Howard flustered. Just by his mass alone, Roy is one of the few people in the league that Superman can’t treat as a rag-doll, and that, combined with his fantastic post moves, hook shots and jumpers that evening (he was 3/4 from outside 16 feet) put Howard out of sorts.

But while that interior clash of the titans will be the best sub-story here, the real story that determines the outcome tonight will be the same as it was last time: Stopping Rashard Lewis, Vince Carter and company from taking and making easy shots. Expecting the Pacers to do as well as they did in that category as they did in Indy is beyond unlikely (Lewis was 2/8 and Vince shot 2/15), but if they can do something similar in that regard and play better offense than they did last time (Indy only shot 42.9% themselves in the win) then they might just have a shot at beating a scuffling Magic team again.

Five Other Things

(1) Orlando is playing terrible basketball of late. They’ve lost their last 3 and 7 of their last 10 — which includes embarrassing losses to Washington, Chicago,  and, if we’re being honest, Indiana.

(2) Dwight Howard hasn’t been particularly active on offense all year. His PPG and FGAs per game are both at four-year lows for him, and it seems like the departure of Hedo has left few guys on the perimeter who are adept at getting him the ball. Even when he does flash aggressively in the post, he often doesn’t get the ball. Thus, he seems less than eager to waste all the energy that it takes to fight for deep position on the block. Can’t really blame him. Why bother if no one is gonna get you the ball? That’s what I’ve seen anyway. Against the Lakers on Monday, however, he was as active as I’ve seen him all year. He owned the paint offensively for large stretches of that game, and if it wasn’t for unbelievable bad shooting by the rest of the team in the 4th quarter, we would all be talking about how spectacular and active Dwight was in a win against the “unbeatable” Lakers. Pacers fans don’t really care about any of that, but the point here is that if that Dwight happens to show up like that again on offense, Indy is in big, big trouble.

(3) The Vince Carter in Orlando Experiment has been an overwhelming failure thus far. He’s shooting 38.6% overall and 30.6% from the floor. And in his last 8 games, he is an absolutely abysmal 15/67 shooting (22.4%). The Pacers should let him shoot early and often from the outside and NOT LET HIM GET ANYTHING EASY EARLY TO GET HIM BACK ON TRACK. I cannot say that strongly enough. If Brandon Rush or Granger or Dahntay or whoever lets him get into the paint in the first few minutes or lets him get a dunk in transition then the game plan for this evening needs to be serious questioned.

(4) Ryan Anderson has been one of the better under-the-radar role players for a contender this year. He can change any game with his three-point shooting.

(5) Matt Barnes is one of the few “go hard” guys on this team and the Pacers really don’t need to let him get any big dunks, steals or dive-on-the-ground plays early. Guys like Vince and Rashard — and even Dwight sometimes — are passive by nature, but can be energized when they see someone like Barnes get all hyped. Basically, don’t poke the bear with a stick.

Pacers in Orlando: Tale of the Tape

Pacers @ Magic
14-27 (13th) Overall Record (Conf Rank) 26-15 (4th)
4-17 (Road) Home / Road Records 14-4 (Home)
5-5 Record Last 10 Games 3-7
Lost 2 Current Streak Lost 3
2-3 Last 5 Head-to-Head 3-2
-5.37 (28th) Avg Scoring Margin +4.51 (7th)
98.9 (18th) Points Per Game 101.0 (10th)
101.3 (27th) Offensive Rating 108.8 (9th)
43.3% (28th) FG% 45.6% (18th)
47.5% (25th) eFG% 52.2% (5th)
104.3 (25th) Opponent's PPG 96.5 (8th)
106.8 (16th) Defensive Rating 103.9 (6th)
45.3% (12th) Opponent's FG% 44.1% (4th)
48.9% (10th) Opponent's eFG% 48.1% (6th)
97.7 (2nd) Pace 92.9 (14th)

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On Dwyane Killing Indy Last Night

by Jared Wade on January 20, 2010 at 4:46 pm

I wrote a short thing for the Daily Dime about Flash torching the Pacers last night and scoring his 11,000th career point in the process. Figured I’d share in case you missed it.

The Pacers might have actually been glad to see Dwyane Wade make his first 3-pointer of the game Tuesday night. Much like with LeBron James prior to this season or Allen Iverson always, the best defense against an elite penetrator who too often settles for jump shots often can be to just let him shoot. The last thing you want a guy called Flash to do is try to dribble by you, so if he becomes enamored with the long stuff early, you might have him right where you want him — away from the paint.

And Wade, who was shooting 27.4 percent from behind the arc on 3.2 3-point attempts per game going into Tuesday night, is definitely someone Pacers coach Jim O’Brien likes to see standing 25 feet from the hoop.

But this wasn’t O’Brien’s night. It was Wade’s night.

After hitting his first 3 less than two minutes after the tip, Wade would hit two more triples in the quarter and tallied 18 of his game-high 32 points before the first period ended. In the second quarter — by which point the game already seemed over, and Miami was adding to a lead that would eventually reach 31 points — Wade added a layup that put him over the 11,000-point mark for his career. The way things were going, it felt like he might eclipse the 12,000-point plateau before the half.

Indiana had come back to win after being down 23 against Toronto just last week and followed that up by erasing a 24-point deficit to beat Phoenix two days later, so there was still hope. But similar fortune would not return. Not on a night when the Pacers were playing in Miami instead of Indianapolis. Not on a night when Danny Granger shot 2-for-16. And not when Michael Beasley was playing Robin to Flash’s … well … Flash.

Let’s hope they have better luck against the other Florida team tonight.

(Full preview to come shortly)

dwyane wade dwight howard

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Pacers 97 – Magic 90

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[Ed note: I'd like to thank Tony Laurenzana, aka, Duke Dynamite, for filling in to write today's recap. Duke is a Pacers fanatic and has also written about the team for Pacers.com. You can follow him on Twitter @dukedynamite.]

After coming off their largest defeat that I’ve ever seen (well, since the Miami game back last month, I guess…), I thought the Pacers were going to mail in this game against Orlando in a nice little wrapped package. But much to my surprise, I was wrong. Way wrong.

1st Quarter Notes

The two teams went back and forth for the most part, and Indy actually didn’t get down big within the first four or five minutes of a game for once. Then, Jim O’Brien got called for a technical. And for the Magic, it started going downhill from there. Dwight Howard was called for his first two fouls within about 15 seconds of each other, forcing him out of the game early.

Roy Hibbert started the game and unlike the previous match up with Dwight Howard he didn’t split the majority of the minutes with Jeff Foster. As a matter of fact Coach O’Brien had about 35 minutes or so of Hibbert invested in this game and Roy took full advantage of his time, leading the Pacers to a 5-point first quarter lead while Howard spent his time the bench. Roy finished the first quarter with 12 points.

2nd Quarter Notes

In the start of the second quarter, the Magic brought Howard back and were able to pull within two points after a Pietrus 3-point shot, an Indy turnover and a few free throws. But the best thing the Magic had going for them in this quarter was Pietrus’ shooting and, because of him, they were able to go up by as much as 3 points.

AJ Price, as expected, was the first point guard off the bench to relieve Earl Watson. (In fact, AJ and Earl who were the only two point guards to get any time during the game, with even Luther Head manning the duties from time-to-time instead of TJ Ford, who got a DNP-CD). And Price, while still a little sporadic with his jumper, was able to help pull the Pacers back into the lead.

But what good is a lead if you can’t maintain it? Aside from getting straight blown out, that has been the Pacers’ biggest problem this season. Well, Roy came back into the game to help solidify the lead going into the half. He helped force 3 Dwight Howard turnovers and blocked his shot once before Dwight committed his third foul and had to head to the bench … again.

The Pacers ended the half up 45-39 on the strength of 18 first-half points from Hibbert and the Pacers ability to shut down Vince Carter, who had plenty of good looking shots, but couldn’t get anything to fall.

3rd Quarter Notes

The third quarter couldn’t have begun any better. Dwight was called for his fourth foul within the first 10 seconds as Roy made the one they call Superman look like a foul-prone prospect with little experience trying to guard a vet — instead of the other way around.

The Magic were able to keep it close, however, with Matt Barnes becoming red hot, even after a double-technical went against both him and Hibbert. Mike Dunleavy chucked up a couple of airballs before finally nailing a trey from the corner. The Pacers were able to regain a 6-point lead at the end of three.

4th Quarter Notes

The fourth quarter started like any other game where Indy is in the lead. Jason Williams and JJ Redick each hit a three in the opening possessions to tie the game at 68. Quickly … Pacers timeout. We’ve seen this before. The opposing team decides to show up to the game late, and the Pacers just curl up in the fetal position and decide it’s over from there.

But with two quick jumpers by Dahntay Jones and Mike Dunleavy gave Indy the lead again. The only downside to the run was that Hibbert, who somehow had no fouls coming into fourth, picked up four fouls in almost 3 minutes. Roy’s perfect game was in jeopardy and the Pacers were now in the penalty with a lot of time left to play.

Luckily, Dwight Howard couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn to save his life and the Magic were only 15 of 24 from the stripe as a team, which didn’t help them any down the stretch.

Brandon Rush also thought that the fourth quarter would be a good time to show up offensively and, along with a three by Watson and a couple of nice shots from Hibbert, Rush’s buckets helped the Pacers stretch their lead and, soon after, run away with the game. Dwight fouled out with about 2 minutes left and started getting involved with some of the fans taunting him. Considering there were only about 11,000 people in attendance, it was pretty loud in the Fieldhouse when he got number 6.

From there, the Pacers seemed a little cold both from the floor and the line, but they had already built up a sustainable lead so it didn’t ultimately matter. Wait, did I just say the Pacers could sustain a lead? Wow, check my temperature, I may be sick.

What’ya know? The Pacers beat the Magic, 97-9 0 and Roy Hibbert was the star of the game, dropping a career-high 26 points. To think going into this game that Roy was going to shut down the NBA’s premier center, this game should have been a sell-out. That on top of Carter basically being a no-show.

It doesn’t erase the 40-plus point blowout from the Knicks game, but it left me a lot to smile about leaving the Fieldhouse.

Pacers Beat Reigning East Champs: By The Numbers

Pacers vs. Magic
97 Score 90
12 Largest Lead 1
97.0 Offensive Efficiency 90.0
45.8% eFG% 43.6%
42.9% (36/84) FG% 38.4 (33/86)
31.3% (5/16) 3PT% 40.9% (9/22)
69.0% (20/29) FT% 62.5% (15/24)
44 (9) Rebounds (Off.) 52 (16)
13 (14) Turnovers (Points Led To) 20 (20)
28 Points in the Paint 38
10 Fast Break Points 17
20 Assists 12

Post-Game Essentials: Box Score | PM Game Flow | Play-By-Play | Shot Chart | Behind the Box Score | Indy Star Recap | Cornrows Recap | AP Recap | Pacer’s Digest Post Game

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Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic
Monday, December 14
7:00 PM EST
Amway Arena
Orlando, Florida

Pacers vs. Magic
8-13 (10th) Record 17-6 (3rd)
Won 2 Streak Lost 2
-3.71 (23rd) Avg Scoring Margin +5.74
98.0 (19th) Points Per Game 102.3 (9th)
101.0 (26th) Offensive Rating 110.5 (6th)
43.1% (28th) FG% 46.2% (13th)
47.0% (26th) eFG% 53.0% (3rd)
101.8 (22nd) Opponent's PPG 96.5 (8th)
104.8 (10th) Defensive Rating 104.3 (9th)
44.8% (11th) Opponent's FG% 44.6% (9th)
48.2% (8th) Opponent's eFG% 48.5% (1oth)
101.3 (2nd) Pace 92.6 (15th)

Off Rating: pts / 100 possessions Def Rating: pts allowed / 100 possessions
eFG%: FG% accounting for 3PA being worth more Pace: avg possessions per game

Been vacationing, but wanted to at least get the numbers up before the tip. I only have seconds to go. This is like a McGrubber sketch, except perhaps not quite as dumb. Long story short: The Pacers go for three straight wins vs. Dwight Howard and his Superman cape.

Will it happen?

Hope so. But doubt it.

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New Pacers Logo?

by Jared Wade on October 31, 2009 at 1:54 am

I’m not sure if you are one of the tens of regular readers of Both Teams Played Hard, but we spent like half the summer doing an exceedingly slow roll out of our NBA Logo Ranking Project, which picked apart each team’s logo from #30 to #1 and was generally a waste of everyone’s time. It was a foolish endeavor, but there were some good bloggers involved and it kept a couple of my friends entertained for a few months so it was worthwhile. Plus, it kept me from having to write about even foolisher things that people like to pretend are news during the offseason like NBA players saying “controversial” things on Twitter, Ricky Rubio’s true feelings on the state of Minnesota and the ongoing pretend officiating apocalypse.

One of the my favorite entries came from Project Spurs‘ Jeff Garcia, who mocked the Orlando Magic’s dumb logo and suggested an Arrested Development-themed replacement. If you’re an Arrested Development fan, chances are you’ll think it’s pretty funny. Or at least clever. But if you’ve never seen the show, you will have no idea what the whole thing is about.

Anyway…

Because of my recent logo fascination, I was very glad to see ESPN’s Page 2 put forth it’s own “New and Improved NBA Logos” for all 30 teams. The Nuggets, Nets and Wolves are all particularly good. And while the Pacer one might not be all that funny, it is pretty clever. Nationally, no one really knows what to think about Indiana, and it seems that even local fans are just as divided on whether or not this team will be among the worst in the league — as they have looked the last two games — or whether they might be able to sneak into the Eastern Conference playoffs.

Here’s their take, with the whole before-and-after, side-by-side effect. Really, the only thing else that’s missing from the question mark is a picture of Mike Dunleavy’s knee. Still, pretty well done.

Pacers Logo Page 2

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TrueHoop Network 09-10 NBA Season Preview

by Jared Wade on October 26, 2009 at 1:36 pm

I promised you Voltron and Voltron you shall have.

Here are all of the TrueHoop Network season previews for the individual teams. As an added bonus, Henry Abbott will have some more stuff up later in the day over at TrueHoop, Matt Moore has his piece on undersized guards at Hardwood Paroxysm and Haubs has his “10 NBA Questions for the 2010s” at The Painted Area.

And let’s hope the network’s 32-win prediction for the Pacers proves low.

TEAM BLOGGERS SAY WINS*

Bret Lagree | Hoopinion

“The Hawks have not built, nor do they appear to be building, a championship contender. … Joe Johnson is poised to be a free agent in the summer of 2010. Johnson is not a franchise player, yet he’s the Hawks’ best player.”

45

Zach Lowe | CelticsHub

“It seems reasonable to say anything short of an 18th championship would be a disappointment.”

58

Brett Hainline | Queen City Hoops

“Great defense + equally bad offense = average. With an improving division around them, that equation does not get them their first playoff berth. But at least they won’t suck.”

36

Matt McHale | By the Horns

“During the offseason, the Bulls lost free agent Ben Gordon, whom many people considered the team’s best or second-best player (after Derrick Rose). Memo to Chicago fans: Don’t sweat it. Seriously. Gordon will be replaced by John Salmons, who not only gave the Bulls almost as many points per game (18.3 versus 20.7) but was slightly more efficient in how he scored them.”

43

John Krolik | Cavs the Blog

“After last season’s playoff heartbreak, Danny Ferry has changed up the equation … However, Shaq could disrupt the delicate offensive and defensive chemistry the Cavaliers rode to 66 wins and the conference finals, despite the fact he will be the best player LeBron has ever played with if he continues to play like he did last season. The big question for the Cavs this seasons whether they overreacted to two clutch 3s by Rashard Lewis, or made the risk they needed to take to finally get LeBron a ring.”

61

Rob Mahoney | The Two Man Game

“’Rebuilding’ teams seek financial flexibility and the acquisition of young, productive assets. Quality squads amass veteran talent, no matter the cost, in pursuit of a title. Defying all logic, the Mavs have simultaneously moved in both directions.”

50

Jeremy Wagner | Roundball Mining Company

“The only players still on the roster who exceeded expectations in 2008-09 were Nene and Birdman. It is reasonable to expect every member of the Nuggets, other than thirty-something Chauncey Billups, to improve.”

53

Dan Feldman | PistonPowered

“However the minutes shake out between Chris Wilcox, Kwame Brown and Ben Wallace, they won’t be as good as Rasheed Wallace. But Sheed wasn’t that great last year. He looked old and disinterested, so the drop here won’t be too steep.”

36

Rasheed Malek |Warriors World

“Under the ownership of Chris Cohan, the Warriors have made the playoffs exactly one time and have gone through numerous coaches, players and executives. Going into this season, Larry Riley is the man in charge taking over for Chris Mullin.”

28

Anup Shah and Brody Rollins | Rockets Buzz

“The speed revolution has overtaken some of basketball’s peers, most notably football … Is basketball headed in the same direction? [Aaron] Brooks provides an excellent case study. Beginning the year as the Rockets number one threat on offense with Ron Artest’s departure and injuries to Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming, Brooks will have every opportunity to prove that size really doesn’t matter.”

39

Jared Wade | Eight Points, Nine Seconds

“It’s hard to believe that anything short of the postseason will remove the dark cloud over Conseco. … Ultimately, it will come down to one thing: [Mike Jr.] Dunleavy’s knee.”

32

Kevin Arnovitz | ClipperBlog

“[Blake] Griffin and [Eric] Gordon may not be saviors, but they’re something. Griffin’s skills and his tenacious work ethic (the guy runs up sand dunes in his free time) will be a boon to a team desperate for cultural overhaul. Gordon offers an enticing combination of spot-up shooting and forays into the paint. He finished third in true shooting percentage among starting off guards in his rookie campaign, something that can only help a team that ranked dead last in offensive efficiency last season.”

32

Kurt Helin | Forum Blue and Gold

“God, is it good to be hated again.”

64

Chip Crain | 3 Shades of Blue

“The 2009-10 version of the Grizzlies have put together a starting five where every player scored 30 points or more in a game last year. The oldest starter is only 28 years old (Zach Randolph) and the youngest won’t turn 22 until after the start of the season (O.J. Mayo). They are young, talented and hungry for success. So why do most people focus on the two players not on a rookie contract this season?”

20

Matthew Bunch | Hot Hot Hoops

“38.6 minutes. 30.2 points. 49.1 percent shooting. Five rebounds. 7.5 assists. 2.2 steals. 1.3 blocks. That’s what [Dwyane] Wade averaged last season. You’re going to keep that guy out of the playoffs? Good luck.”

44

Jeremy Schmidt | Bucksketball

“If the Bucks get anything out of their three small forwards, if they can keep [Andrew] Bogut and [Michael] Redd healthy and if they get a season worthy of the number ten selection out of Brandon Jennings at the point, the playoffs will be within reach. But that’s a lot of ifs.”

29

Patrick Hodgdon | Howlin’ T-Wolf

“”Ever since his arrival, David Kahn has had seemingly one mission, other than to look like the smartest guy in the room at every turn, and that is to get as much cap space for next summer as he possibly can. … The obvious question lies in whether or not the Wolves will actually be able to lure one of the better free agent players to come to Minnesota.”

23

Mark Ginocchio and Sebastian Priuti | Nets are Scorching

“Lingering doubts about Brooklyn could spoil any change the Nets have of landing a top free agent next summer.”

29

Niall Doherty and Ryan Schwan | Hornets247

“Enter Emeka Okafor. He’s a near match to a healthy Chandler, is more durable, and doesn’t look like he’s having muscle spasms when making a post move.”

47

Mike Kurylo | Knickerblogger

“2010 could be New York’s return to winning.”

31

Royce Young | Daily Thunder

“The Thunder may not win more than half their games, but with over half the roster unable to get an alcoholic beverage still, steady improvement and progression is the name of the game.”

34

Zach McCann | Orlando Magic Daily

“Take away either Hedo Turkoglu or Courtney Lee and the Magic aren’t getting to face the Lakers in the Finals. No way. But does that mean the Magic were wrong to let them go? Were the Magic foolish to allow a borderline All-Star and a possible future All-Star leave the team when both clearly wanted to stay in Orlando? Absolutely not. I believe the Magic are an entirely better team than they were four months ago.”

59

Carey R. Smith | Philadunkia

“The travesty of a deal that Billy King gave to Samuel Dalembert remains easily one of the worst contracts in NBA history. Hopefully this season Dalembert, his inflated self-worth and his contract will be dealt for a couple of expiring contracts and some much-needed cap space.”

39

Michael Schwartz | Valley of the Suns

“Two years ago the Suns were chic championship picks. Last year, the Suns were (accurately) thought to be a fringe playoff team. This year there are almost no expectations outside of their locker room. … There will be no mistaking what the Suns are this season: a lightning-speed team that will score points in bunches and likely give them up almost as quickly while struggling badly on the boards. But they will once again be the most exciting team in basketball.”

46

Max Handelman | Beyond Bowie

“The Blazers effectively bumbled their way to a 54-win season despite a mediocre performance from Greg Oden, the loss of Martell Webster for the season, and at times starting three rookies. This team is only getting better, kids.”

53

Zach Harper | Cowbell Kingdom

“Enter Tyreke Evans — a bulldozer-sized menace who will test the strength of every team’s defense at its entry point. He immediately creates matchup problems against teams with traditional point guards and will look to have a similar impact as fellow Memphis alum, Derrick Rose.”

22

Timothy Varner | 48 Minutes of Hell

During the Celtics heyday, Red Auerbach boasted a winning percentage of .719. In the modern era, Pat Riley’s Showtime Lakers played to the tune of .733. Phil Jackson’s Jordan Bulls dominated the 90s with an otherworldly percentage of .771. Jackson’s three-peat Lakers? .735. In his 12 seasons with San Antonio, Gregg Popovich, whose cynical disdain for the regular season runs more than skin deep, has, nevertheless, posted a winning percentage of .707. That’s the company the Spurs keep. What should we expect this season? 58 wins and a run at the title. Same as every other year.”

55

RaptorsRepublic

“How is a rookie(ish) head coach going to integrate nine new players into a new system with two new assistant coaches?”

41

Spencer Ryan Hall | Salt City Hoops

“With young Wesley Matthews providing the good luck charm, Boozer in a contract year, Deron Williams with a chip on his shoulder, and a new longer-haired version of Andrei Kirilenko the Jazz have no reason to be anything other than beastly this season. And I mean that in a good way. Every prediction from the Jazz camp, however, comes with the ominous caveat ‘If we can stay healthy.’”

46

Kyle Weidie | Truth About It

“Flip Saunders has never gotten a team ‘there.’ That worn out cliché always runs rampant, plaguing almost every coach who hasn’t won … until they win. Red Auerbach (647), Larry Brown (1,900), and Dick Motta (738) all took their lumps before winning a championship (games coached before title season). Don’t be surprised when what you think is impossible becomes a reality. … 2010 is the Chinese Year of the Tiger. Factor in Gilbert Arenas’ stomach tattoo and the fact that the Wizards play their home games in D.C.’s Chinatown, and all the cards are in place.”

42

* As predicted by a consensus of all TrueHoop Network bloggers.

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