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TrueHoop Network

ESPN’s TrueHoop Network is conducting a mock draft using the member bloggers.  Here’s a recap of the activity leading up to my projection of the Pacers’ pick at #10:

1. Washington – John Wall (Kyle Weidie of Truth About It.net)

2. Philadelphia – Evan Turner (Carey Smith of Philadunkia)

3. New Jersey – Derrick Favors (Sebastian Pruiti of NetsAreScorching)

4. Minnesota – Wesley Johnson (Zach Harper of A Wolf Among Wolves)

5. Sacramento – DeMarcus Cousins (Zach Harper of Cowbell Kingdom)

6. Golden State – Greg Monroe (Rasheed Malek of WarriorsWorld.net)

7. Detroit – Ekpe Udoh (Dan Feldman of PistonPowered)

8. L.A. Clippers – Al-Farouq Aminu (D.J. Foster of ClipperBlog)

9. Utah – Xavier Henry (Spencer Hall of Salt City Hoops)

With the 10th pick in the first annual TrueHoop Network Mock Draft, the Indiana Pacers select…

paul george fresno state

Paul George of Fresno State University

Rationale: The bigs that the Pacers were really interested in — Monroe, Aminu and Udoh — are all off the board.  I don’t think that they would draft Ed Davis to keep him, as he’s maybe three or four years away from being a contributor and doesn’t look to have huge upside. And the only other big to really consider here, Cole Aldrich, is too redundant to Roy Hibbert.

Other rumbles have the Pacers targeting Avery Bradley here, who makes sense as a perimeter defender, but is a bit of a stretch at pick #10. Also, he’s more of a 2 than a 1. In fact, I told Jared that’s who I was going to draft but then went back and re-read some notes and scouting reports and changed my mind. It’s possible that they go that direction, but I think they’ll end up liking Paul George as a more versatile, more NBA-ready player. He could potentially take Rush’s job at the 2. Or, if Murphy is traded away, he could even end up playing some “stretch” 4 in the system. Overall, he looks like a very strong defender for the 3, a good defender at 4 and a passable-to-solid defender at the 2.

More than anything, however, the choices left in this mock draft underscore how much the Pacers really are — and probably should be — looking to trade down or out of this draft. Indiana, most of all, needs guard help and there isn’t a lot they can get at pick #10 that’s better than what they can get even after the lottery. Thus, I would be very surprised if the Pacers have this pick come draft night.

The New Orleans Hornets are now on the clock

Here’s how the rest of ESPN’s True Hoop Network is projecting the draft (click on link to see each team’s write up).

11. New Orleans – Cole Aldrich (Joe Gerrity of Hornets247)

12. Memphis – Ed Davis (Chip Crain of 3 Shades of Blue)

13. Toronto – Avery Bradley (Zarar Siddiqi of Raptors Republic)

14. Houston – Patrick Patterson (Matt Moore of Hardwood Paroxysm)

15. Milwaukee – Gordon Hayward (Jeremy Schmidt of Bucksketball.com)

16. Minnesota – Hassan Whiteside (Zach Harper of A Wolf Among Wolves)

17. Chicago – Luke Babbitt (Matt Moore of Hardwood Paroxysm)

18. Miami – Eric Bledsoe (Surya Fernandez of Hot Hot Hoops)

19. Boston – James Anderson (Matt Moore of Hardwood Paroxysm)

20. San Antonio – Damion James (Tim Varner of 48 Minutes of Hell)

21. Oklahoma City – Daniel Orton (Royce Young of DailyThunder.com)

22. Portland – Solomon Alabi (Ezra Ace Caraeff of The Portland Roundball Society)

23. Minnesota – Kevin Seraphin (Zach Harper of A Wolf Among Wolves)

24. Atlanta – Larry Sanders (Bret LaGree of Hoopinion)

25. Memphis – Dominique Jones (Chip Crain of 3 Shades of Blue)

26. Oklahoma City – Tibor Pleiss (Royce Young of DailyThunder.com)

27. New Jersey – Jordan Crawford (Sebastian Pruiti of NetsAreScorching)

28. Memphi – Elliot Williams (Chip Crain of 3 Shades of Blue)

29. Orlando – Quincy Pondexter (Eddy Rivera of Magic Basketball)

30. Washington – Craig Brackins (Kyle Weidie of Truth About It.net)

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Game #62 Preview – Gonna Lose

by Tim Donahue on March 5, 2010 at 1:18 pm · 1 comment

Indiana Pacers @ Denver Nuggets
Friday, March 5th
9:00 pm EST
Pepsi Center
Denver, Colorado

DenverRockets1

I probably should explain a couple things.

First, the logo.  The team that you now know as the Denver Nuggets came into this world as the Denver Rockets of the ABA.  (Well, actually, they began life in Kansas City, then moved to Denver when they couldn’t get an arena, where they were originally called the Denver Larks.) Along with the Pacers, they were one of the premier franchises of that star-crossed (and still much-beloved) league, becoming one of the four teams absorbed into the NBA.  Their owner, Bill Ringsby,  (re)named the franchise to Rockets, and changed the color scheme to Orange and Black so as to match the logo and color scheme of his trucking lines – Ringsby System.

When the leagues merged in 1976, Denver was forced to change their name.  The NBA already had a Rockets, and they used the paper thin reasoning that Houston was “here first,” and that the city actually had a connection to the space program to demand that change.  Piffle.  I, personally, would have told the NBA, “We like our name, thank you very much, and that sounds like a ‘Y.P.,’ not an ‘M.P.’  But, alas, I wasn’t, so now we’re stuck with the Denver Nuggets and the Houston They’re-the-Ones-That-Should-Have-Been-Made-To-Change-Their-Names.

So, why do I mention this?  Because it’s quite possibly the only even vaguely interesting thing about this game.  Which brings me to the second thing that probably merits at least some explanation:  the Title.

Well, it’s pretty straight-forward.  The Pacers are gonna lose.  In fact, all the signs basically say, “The Pacers gonna lose baaaaaaad.”   Denver is pretty much everything that the Pacers are not:  big, strong, fast, athletic, balanced, and talented.   Indy’s best hope is that Denver is in a carnivore coma after devouring a much more respectable Oklahoma City team the other night in the Pepsi Center.  The Nugs led the up-and-coming Thunder by as many as 41 points.  If they put that kind of performance on this staggering and toothless Indiana team, the Pacers might actually just blink out of existence.

Look, I want the Pacers to win.  I want to be positive, and I really do feel kind of bad about being so dismissive of my team.  However, no matter how I look at it, I can only come to one conclusion.

Gonna Lose.

Tracking the Spitball

At the end of January, I did a piece that I entitled “Spitballing – Where the Pacers Will Finish.”  In it, I projected that the Pacers would win 11 of their final 35 games to finish 27-55.   The Pacers have played 14 games since that point, and you’ll be happy to know that they are exactly where I projected them to be at this point.  (Actually, you probably don’t care, but I’m going to pretend you’re thrilled, cuz…that’s pretty much all I got these days.)

ProjvAct

The yellow line shows the actual progress of their winning percentage, while the blue is my projection.  As you can see, I’ve missed a couple wins, but they were offset by losses.  At this point, I might consider the 27 wins (requiring a 7-14 record) to be a tad optimistic.

Behind Enemy Lines

Wanna know more about the Denver Rock..errrr…Nuggets?  Go check out our THN friends at Roundball Mining Company.

Pacers@ Nuggets: By the Numbers

Pacers @ Rockets
20-41 (14th) Overall Record (Conf Rank) 40-21 (3rd)
7-25 (Road) Home / Road Records 26-31 (Home)
.838 Game SoSHR .219
2-8 Record Last 10 Games 6-4
Lost 2 Current Streak Won 1
2-3 Last 5 Head-to-Head 3-2
-5.13 (28th) Avg Scoring Margin +4.84 (5th)
101.6 (28th) Offensive Rating 111.9 (2nd)
43.8% (28th) FG% 47.0% (7th)
48.2% (25th) eFG% 51.2% (7th)
106.8 (14th) Defensive Rating 106.9 (15th)
45.3% (10th) Opponent's FG% 45.8% (15th)
49.0% (10th) Opponent's eFG% 49.5% (13th)
97.6 (2nd) Pace 95.2 (5th)

death-by-falling-fail

No matter how much it currently feels like this is true, this can’t actually happen – I think.

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TrueHoop Network 09-10 NBA Season Preview

by Jared Wade on October 26, 2009 at 1:36 pm · 1 comment

I promised you Voltron and Voltron you shall have.

Here are all of the TrueHoop Network season previews for the individual teams. As an added bonus, Henry Abbott will have some more stuff up later in the day over at TrueHoop, Matt Moore has his piece on undersized guards at Hardwood Paroxysm and Haubs has his “10 NBA Questions for the 2010s” at The Painted Area.

And let’s hope the network’s 32-win prediction for the Pacers proves low.

TEAM BLOGGERS SAY WINS*

Bret Lagree | Hoopinion

“The Hawks have not built, nor do they appear to be building, a championship contender. … Joe Johnson is poised to be a free agent in the summer of 2010. Johnson is not a franchise player, yet he’s the Hawks’ best player.”

45

Zach Lowe | CelticsHub

“It seems reasonable to say anything short of an 18th championship would be a disappointment.”

58

Brett Hainline | Queen City Hoops

“Great defense + equally bad offense = average. With an improving division around them, that equation does not get them their first playoff berth. But at least they won’t suck.”

36

Matt McHale | By the Horns

“During the offseason, the Bulls lost free agent Ben Gordon, whom many people considered the team’s best or second-best player (after Derrick Rose). Memo to Chicago fans: Don’t sweat it. Seriously. Gordon will be replaced by John Salmons, who not only gave the Bulls almost as many points per game (18.3 versus 20.7) but was slightly more efficient in how he scored them.”

43

John Krolik | Cavs the Blog

“After last season’s playoff heartbreak, Danny Ferry has changed up the equation … However, Shaq could disrupt the delicate offensive and defensive chemistry the Cavaliers rode to 66 wins and the conference finals, despite the fact he will be the best player LeBron has ever played with if he continues to play like he did last season. The big question for the Cavs this seasons whether they overreacted to two clutch 3s by Rashard Lewis, or made the risk they needed to take to finally get LeBron a ring.”

61

Rob Mahoney | The Two Man Game

“’Rebuilding’ teams seek financial flexibility and the acquisition of young, productive assets. Quality squads amass veteran talent, no matter the cost, in pursuit of a title. Defying all logic, the Mavs have simultaneously moved in both directions.”

50

Jeremy Wagner | Roundball Mining Company

“The only players still on the roster who exceeded expectations in 2008-09 were Nene and Birdman. It is reasonable to expect every member of the Nuggets, other than thirty-something Chauncey Billups, to improve.”

53

Dan Feldman | PistonPowered

“However the minutes shake out between Chris Wilcox, Kwame Brown and Ben Wallace, they won’t be as good as Rasheed Wallace. But Sheed wasn’t that great last year. He looked old and disinterested, so the drop here won’t be too steep.”

36

Rasheed Malek |Warriors World

“Under the ownership of Chris Cohan, the Warriors have made the playoffs exactly one time and have gone through numerous coaches, players and executives. Going into this season, Larry Riley is the man in charge taking over for Chris Mullin.”

28

Anup Shah and Brody Rollins | Rockets Buzz

“The speed revolution has overtaken some of basketball’s peers, most notably football … Is basketball headed in the same direction? [Aaron] Brooks provides an excellent case study. Beginning the year as the Rockets number one threat on offense with Ron Artest’s departure and injuries to Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming, Brooks will have every opportunity to prove that size really doesn’t matter.”

39

Jared Wade | Eight Points, Nine Seconds

“It’s hard to believe that anything short of the postseason will remove the dark cloud over Conseco. … Ultimately, it will come down to one thing: [Mike Jr.] Dunleavy’s knee.”

32

Kevin Arnovitz | ClipperBlog

“[Blake] Griffin and [Eric] Gordon may not be saviors, but they’re something. Griffin’s skills and his tenacious work ethic (the guy runs up sand dunes in his free time) will be a boon to a team desperate for cultural overhaul. Gordon offers an enticing combination of spot-up shooting and forays into the paint. He finished third in true shooting percentage among starting off guards in his rookie campaign, something that can only help a team that ranked dead last in offensive efficiency last season.”

32

Kurt Helin | Forum Blue and Gold

“God, is it good to be hated again.”

64

Chip Crain | 3 Shades of Blue

“The 2009-10 version of the Grizzlies have put together a starting five where every player scored 30 points or more in a game last year. The oldest starter is only 28 years old (Zach Randolph) and the youngest won’t turn 22 until after the start of the season (O.J. Mayo). They are young, talented and hungry for success. So why do most people focus on the two players not on a rookie contract this season?”

20

Matthew Bunch | Hot Hot Hoops

“38.6 minutes. 30.2 points. 49.1 percent shooting. Five rebounds. 7.5 assists. 2.2 steals. 1.3 blocks. That’s what [Dwyane] Wade averaged last season. You’re going to keep that guy out of the playoffs? Good luck.”

44

Jeremy Schmidt | Bucksketball

“If the Bucks get anything out of their three small forwards, if they can keep [Andrew] Bogut and [Michael] Redd healthy and if they get a season worthy of the number ten selection out of Brandon Jennings at the point, the playoffs will be within reach. But that’s a lot of ifs.”

29

Patrick Hodgdon | Howlin’ T-Wolf

“”Ever since his arrival, David Kahn has had seemingly one mission, other than to look like the smartest guy in the room at every turn, and that is to get as much cap space for next summer as he possibly can. … The obvious question lies in whether or not the Wolves will actually be able to lure one of the better free agent players to come to Minnesota.”

23

Mark Ginocchio and Sebastian Priuti | Nets are Scorching

“Lingering doubts about Brooklyn could spoil any change the Nets have of landing a top free agent next summer.”

29

Niall Doherty and Ryan Schwan | Hornets247

“Enter Emeka Okafor. He’s a near match to a healthy Chandler, is more durable, and doesn’t look like he’s having muscle spasms when making a post move.”

47

Mike Kurylo | Knickerblogger

“2010 could be New York’s return to winning.”

31

Royce Young | Daily Thunder

“The Thunder may not win more than half their games, but with over half the roster unable to get an alcoholic beverage still, steady improvement and progression is the name of the game.”

34

Zach McCann | Orlando Magic Daily

“Take away either Hedo Turkoglu or Courtney Lee and the Magic aren’t getting to face the Lakers in the Finals. No way. But does that mean the Magic were wrong to let them go? Were the Magic foolish to allow a borderline All-Star and a possible future All-Star leave the team when both clearly wanted to stay in Orlando? Absolutely not. I believe the Magic are an entirely better team than they were four months ago.”

59

Carey R. Smith | Philadunkia

“The travesty of a deal that Billy King gave to Samuel Dalembert remains easily one of the worst contracts in NBA history. Hopefully this season Dalembert, his inflated self-worth and his contract will be dealt for a couple of expiring contracts and some much-needed cap space.”

39

Michael Schwartz | Valley of the Suns

“Two years ago the Suns were chic championship picks. Last year, the Suns were (accurately) thought to be a fringe playoff team. This year there are almost no expectations outside of their locker room. … There will be no mistaking what the Suns are this season: a lightning-speed team that will score points in bunches and likely give them up almost as quickly while struggling badly on the boards. But they will once again be the most exciting team in basketball.”

46

Max Handelman | Beyond Bowie

“The Blazers effectively bumbled their way to a 54-win season despite a mediocre performance from Greg Oden, the loss of Martell Webster for the season, and at times starting three rookies. This team is only getting better, kids.”

53

Zach Harper | Cowbell Kingdom

“Enter Tyreke Evans — a bulldozer-sized menace who will test the strength of every team’s defense at its entry point. He immediately creates matchup problems against teams with traditional point guards and will look to have a similar impact as fellow Memphis alum, Derrick Rose.”

22

Timothy Varner | 48 Minutes of Hell

During the Celtics heyday, Red Auerbach boasted a winning percentage of .719. In the modern era, Pat Riley’s Showtime Lakers played to the tune of .733. Phil Jackson’s Jordan Bulls dominated the 90s with an otherworldly percentage of .771. Jackson’s three-peat Lakers? .735. In his 12 seasons with San Antonio, Gregg Popovich, whose cynical disdain for the regular season runs more than skin deep, has, nevertheless, posted a winning percentage of .707. That’s the company the Spurs keep. What should we expect this season? 58 wins and a run at the title. Same as every other year.”

55

RaptorsRepublic

“How is a rookie(ish) head coach going to integrate nine new players into a new system with two new assistant coaches?”

41

Spencer Ryan Hall | Salt City Hoops

“With young Wesley Matthews providing the good luck charm, Boozer in a contract year, Deron Williams with a chip on his shoulder, and a new longer-haired version of Andrei Kirilenko the Jazz have no reason to be anything other than beastly this season. And I mean that in a good way. Every prediction from the Jazz camp, however, comes with the ominous caveat ‘If we can stay healthy.’”

46

Kyle Weidie | Truth About It

“Flip Saunders has never gotten a team ‘there.’ That worn out cliché always runs rampant, plaguing almost every coach who hasn’t won … until they win. Red Auerbach (647), Larry Brown (1,900), and Dick Motta (738) all took their lumps before winning a championship (games coached before title season). Don’t be surprised when what you think is impossible becomes a reality. … 2010 is the Chinese Year of the Tiger. Factor in Gilbert Arenas’ stomach tattoo and the fact that the Wizards play their home games in D.C.’s Chinatown, and all the cards are in place.”

42

* As predicted by a consensus of all TrueHoop Network bloggers.

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Read the Archived ESPN/8p9s Pacers Chat

by Jared Wade on October 13, 2009 at 5:36 pm · 0 comments

All we have today is a quick note to alert those of you who may have missed it that you can catch an archived replay of this afternoon’s Pacers chat with me and David Thorpe. There were way more questions than expected, so apologies if we missed yours. The whole process is pretty much a rapid-fire crap-shoot once it gets going and questions start piling up.

But have no fear, there will be more chats to come throughout the season either over at ESPN or here. And with nothing else to add, here’s a picture of Danny Granger contemplating doves.

danny granger doves

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